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craigo6x
Message Board Junkie
Joined: 30 Oct 2006
Posts: 2898
Location: Cursing the relievers in the bullpen
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 Posted: Fri Feb 22, 2008 11:50 pm Post subject: What's our play here |
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Full Tilt Poker Game #5362159720: Table Washburn - $0.05/$0.10 - Pot Limit Omaha H/L - 22:50:47 ET - 2008/02/22
Seat 1: Vetteparts ($4)
Seat 2: craigo6x ($9.65)
Seat 3: poppareno ($5.75)
Seat 4: Jokur502 ($4.35)
Seat 5: Datguy44 ($4.85)
Seat 6: Mugerkis ($1.90)
Seat 7: dawoof ($2.10)
Seat 8: anorkda ($15.50)
Seat 9: Fredou ($10)
Datguy44 posts the small blind of $0.05
Mugerkis posts the big blind of $0.10
dawoof posts $0.10
The button is in seat #4
*** HOLE CARDS ***
Dealt to craigo6x [Ad Qs Qc As]
dawoof checks
anorkda folds
Fredou calls $0.10
Vetteparts folds
craigo6x raises to $0.55
poppareno folds
Jokur502 folds
Datguy44 calls $0.50
Mugerkis folds
dawoof folds
Fredou calls $0.45
*** FLOP *** [Js Th 6s]
Datguy44 checks
Fredou checks
craigo6x bets $1.85
Datguy44 folds
Fredou has 15 seconds left to act
Fredou raises to $7.40
craigo6x ... |
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Big Slick x13x
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Joined: 18 Jun 2006
Posts: 4317
Location: ROK
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| Posted: Sat Feb 23, 2008 12:17 am Post subject: |
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| Seriously? Just get it in. You have a board that's very likely to be a high only pot which is definitely what you're wanting with your hand, and at .05/.10 it'd be possible that the player only has one pair. If that's at all possible you're definitely a favorite right now. |
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Zophar
Moderator
Joined: 26 Oct 2005
Posts: 3629
Location: East Coast
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| Posted: Sat Feb 23, 2008 12:39 am Post subject: |
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Except for a very TAG few, I'm shoving against most players. That's a big flop for this hand, a good fit. The single low card helps reduce odds of the split, which may have reduced some of his possible redraw options.
Against his range, it's a likely race. You have great redraws as well as blockers to a possible OESD. Even if he's got top set it's not so bad, you are typically at worst a 3/2 dog, while he may be shoving a KQxx FD combo, which you are a big favorite over.
You are also a favorite over top two, which I would put close to the middle point of his range.
He could easily assume you have AA, but may be underestimating the fit of your hand to the board. |
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