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Online Poker Forum - What are the odds...

 
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Kenny_Barron
High Card


Joined: 15 Jul 2005
Posts: 2
Location: West Point, NY

PostPosted: Mon Jul 03, 2006 8:04 am    Post subject: What are the odds... Reply with quote

I have 44, another player has K10, another player has KQ.

Flop: K 4 9

K10 bets, KQ gets out chips to raise, but notices me getting out raising chips... KQ just calls. I raise minimum. K10 calls... KQ is smart enough to go away.

Turn: 9

I put K10 all in, he excitedly calls after showing his hole cards to his buddies... About a $450 pot 1/2 no-limit.

River: case K

Tried running the odds on some software and it looks like he was 0.00% to win after the turn (obviously not the case...) So was it less than 1/10,000 for the board to pair, and then catch the case K?
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Kloaked Spirit
Royal Flush


Joined: 03 Nov 2005
Posts: 869

PostPosted: Mon Jul 03, 2006 8:08 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

Assuming that there's no flush draw available and we know there's only one king left in the deck:

http://twodimes.net/h/?z=1814276
pokenum -h kh td - 4c 4h -- ks 4s 9c / kd
Holdem Hi: 946 enumerated boards containing Ks 4s 9c
cards win %win lose %lose tie %tie EV
Td Kh 28 2.96 918 97.04 0 0.00 0.030
4c 4h 918 97.04 28 2.96 0 0.00 0.970

-------------------------------

After the turn:

http://twodimes.net/h/?z=1814274
pokenum -h kh td - 4c 4h -- ks 4s 9c 9s / kd
Holdem Hi: 43 enumerated boards containing Ks 9s 4s 9c
cards win %win lose %lose tie %tie EV
Td Kh 3 6.98 40 93.02 0 0.00 0.070
4c 4h 40 93.02 3 6.98 0 0.00 0.930
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