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drewg22 Flush
Joined: 25 May 2008 Posts: 139
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Posted: Sun Jul 20, 2008 10:09 am Post subject: Bad play and/or Bad luck? |
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Full Tilt Poker, $5 + $0.50 NL Hold'em Sit n' Go, 40/80 Blinds, 5 Players
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BTN: 765
SB: 8,125
Hero (BB): 1,510
UTG: 2,410
CO: 690
Pre-Flop: (120) J J dealt to Hero (BB)
3 folds, SB raises to 225, Hero raises to 1,510 and is All-In, SB calls 1,285
Flop: (3,020) T 6 K (2 Players - 1 is All-In)
Turn: (3,020) 8 (2 Players - 1 is All-In)
River: (3,020) 5 (2 Players - 1 is All-In)
Results: 3,020 Pot
SB showed K K (three of a kind, Kings) and WON 3,020 (+1,510 NET)
Hero showed J J (a pair of Jacks) and LOST (-1,510 NET)
I considered just calling given the size of the other two shorts stacks but figured if I was going to win I needed to double up through the chip leader.
Also, the chip leader had twice before folded to All Ins even after raising. These were not against me in steal situations but in hands where he opened with a raise.
Thoughts?
Last edited by drewg22 on Sun Jul 20, 2008 3:33 pm; edited 1 time in total |
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Wayniac Forum Pro
Joined: 26 Mar 2008 Posts: 617
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Posted: Sun Jul 20, 2008 10:19 am Post subject: |
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I generally think the insta all in is not a good play, but in this case, since there was a raise in front of you, and any other raise commits your stack, it isn't terrible.
I think you just happened to run into a monster. Part of the game. Plus, given his stack size, it is perfectly reasonable thinking he is just trying to steal the blind and call it a day. |
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cardfish2 Royal Flush
Joined: 31 Oct 2006 Posts: 648 Location: Michigan
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Posted: Sun Jul 20, 2008 10:35 am Post subject: |
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| Looks like a pretty crazy table to get down to 5 with the blinds only at 40/80. Given that fact and that I would expect the big stack to be bullying a lot with non premium hands, I think this would be an insta shove. |
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ThePhoenix78 Royal Flush
Joined: 19 Jan 2007 Posts: 886 Location: On a big pile of money with many beautiful women
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Posted: Sun Jul 20, 2008 12:53 pm Post subject: |
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| Seems like an easy shove to me. Even against a tight player, JJ is a monster in a blind v. blind situation. He's the big stack and you've sensed he's tried to bully before because he's laid down hands after raising. The vast majority of the time, you win a decent preflop bet uncontested with this play and often you win after he calls with a lower PP or the times you win the race (which you're on the better side of, being roughly 56-57% to win or something like that). Sometimes, you run into AA-QQ, but that's so rare and even then, you win nearly 1/5. I don't like flat calling. Not strong enough to slow play and you'll have a tough decision if he c-bets with one or two overs on the board. And any reasonable re-raise commits you. And a fold is really nitty in my opinion. I don't see another viable option other than pushing. |
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Riddim Moderator
Joined: 04 Dec 2005 Posts: 8148 Location: Sweden
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Posted: Sun Jul 20, 2008 1:32 pm Post subject: |
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| The shove is so standard, but this type of thread title tilts me pretty hard. Bad luck and bad play aren't mutually exclusive by any means and yet people keep acting as if they are. |
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Wayniac Forum Pro
Joined: 26 Mar 2008 Posts: 617
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Posted: Sun Jul 20, 2008 1:41 pm Post subject: |
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| Riddim wrote: |
| The shove is so standard, but this type of thread title tilts me pretty hard. Bad luck and bad play aren't mutually exclusive by any means and yet people keep acting as if they are. |
True that... couldn't agree more. People generally tend to say "I must have played it wrong." or "I must have gotten unlucky."
I've always said you should always assume you played the hand wrong and see what conclusions you arrive at. Maybe when it is over you'll determine you did everything correctly and got unlucky, but you'd be surprised at the number of times you don't. |
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syntactician Pair
Joined: 23 Apr 2008 Posts: 39
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Posted: Sun Jul 20, 2008 2:14 pm Post subject: |
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Certainly a difficult hand to get away from and I'd probably have shoved too. However it sounds like this was your 3rd shove at the big stack. Did you have JJ or better those times? Your chip stack puts you solidly in 3rd, so you're risking an easy $9 for a shot at $13.50. I want very good odds to make that bet and probably wouldn't shove with less than 10-10, AK, or AQ.
is it absurdly conservative to suggest calling and check/folding if any overs come off on the flop? |
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drewg22 Flush
Joined: 25 May 2008 Posts: 139
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Posted: Sun Jul 20, 2008 3:32 pm Post subject: |
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| syntactician wrote: |
Certainly a difficult hand to get away from and I'd probably have shoved too. However it sounds like this was your 3rd shove at the big stack. Did you have JJ or better those times? Your chip stack puts you solidly in 3rd, so you're risking an easy $9 for a shot at $13.50. I want very good odds to make that bet and probably wouldn't shove with less than 10-10, AK, or AQ.
is it absurdly conservative to suggest calling and check/folding if any overs come off on the flop? |
Sorry I was not clear. The big stack folded to shoves from other players. This was the first time I had gone all in against them.
I was wondering about comments regarding the "easy $9.00". I have been in situations like this where I go conservative to reach the money, then the next thing I know the 765 stack triples up and I have been blinded to about half their stack.
As you know with 5 players, the blinds seem to whip around the table. |
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drewg22 Flush
Joined: 25 May 2008 Posts: 139
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Posted: Sun Jul 20, 2008 3:34 pm Post subject: |
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| Riddim wrote: |
| The shove is so standard, but this type of thread title tilts me pretty hard. Bad luck and bad play aren't mutually exclusive by any means and yet people keep acting as if they are. |
Fixed the title ya grouchy little gnome! |
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Riddim Moderator
Joined: 04 Dec 2005 Posts: 8148 Location: Sweden
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Posted: Sun Jul 20, 2008 3:41 pm Post subject: |
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| drewg22 wrote: |
| Riddim wrote: |
| The shove is so standard, but this type of thread title tilts me pretty hard. Bad luck and bad play aren't mutually exclusive by any means and yet people keep acting as if they are. |
Fixed the title ya grouchy little gnome! |
Wohooo! |
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syntactician Pair
Joined: 23 Apr 2008 Posts: 39
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Posted: Sun Jul 20, 2008 6:07 pm Post subject: |
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You're right Drew, "easy $9" was a bit of an exaggeration. Guess I got caught up in making my pitch for the conservative play.
The fact that it was others re-raising the big stack, and not you, makes the all-in a better play. |
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dcdoorknob Message Board Junkie
Joined: 11 May 2007 Posts: 1128 Location: Mississippi
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Posted: Sun Jul 20, 2008 11:42 pm Post subject: |
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| super-easy shove imo. |
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