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seabas22 · High Card Joined: 16 Jul 2008 Posts: 18

I played about 20 sitngos 800 hands and never was dealt AA. I had KK one time. Never had QQ. AKs one time. JJ, 1010, 99 twice.

One sitngo today played 50 hands, never had a pocket pair(not even 22) and A7os was my best hand and only Ax! Not one suited connector either!!!

This is some BS!!! I can't believe how chitty my cards are! I better have some turn around soon or I'm going to start killing people!!! AAAHHHHHHHH

peoplepod · Pair Joined: 26 Apr 2008 Posts: 22 Location: England

that is pretty sick Shocked

you getting much luck hitting flops?

id rather never get dealt AA if i hit the flop hard everytime Laughing

Important Boy · Posted: Sat Jul 19, 2008 4:38 am Post subject:

Lawl. The cards are random. Sometimes you get dealt nothing but pocket cards and suited connectors and other times you get dealt K 2 and Q 3 all day. Please don't kill me.

Wayniac · Forum Pro Joined: 26 Mar 2008 Posts: 617

Two summers ago I would go to this casino about 27 miles away and I'd play in this cash game with my friend 3 nights a week (6 hours on thursday, 10 on friday and saturday). That's 26 hours a weekend, and at about 25 hands an hour, that's 650 hands a weekend.

Anyway, I literally went about a month without seeing pocket aces once. When I finally got em and won with em, I had to stand up and yell to my friend and show him, because he knew I hadn't gotten them in what seemed like forever.

So give or take several hundred, it was at least 2000 hands I went without seeing AA. It happens. Pretty ridiculous sometimes though.

Poker can be brutal...

sloshedzeus · Posted: Sat Jul 19, 2008 5:17 am Post subject:

Remember, the cards don't always come, but position always does.

drewg22 · Flush Joined: 25 May 2008 Posts: 139

StevieWard · Message Board Junkie Joined: 12 Jul 2007 Posts: 1552

I havn't had Aces in (roughly) the last 3,000 hands I have played.

sneakyAris · Pair Joined: 09 Jul 2008 Posts: 31

i usually like to take notes on how often guys get AA so i know what im up againist. that way if i sit down at a table and a guy 3 bets me and ic i have notes on him i look and c that he gets AA ALOT so i know to fold.

Nositi · Posted: Sat Jul 19, 2008 1:56 pm Post subject:

pokeropie · Royal Flush Joined: 04 Jan 2006 Posts: 779 Location: Ohio

its got to be the doomswitch

vectorspace · Posted: Sat Jul 19, 2008 3:24 pm Post subject:

Everyone so far has hit the nail on the head. All part of the randomness of the deal. I just wanted to throw some math into it to show that what's happened really isn't so far fetched.

Probability of being dealt AA: (4/52)*(3/51) = 1/221. I.e., expect AA once every 221 hands on average. Of course, you might get them 2 times out of 50, or none out of 800. Neither being that far fetched.

Wayniac, 0 out of 2000 is getting borderline unlikely.
Specifically, probability of getting AA 0 out of 2000 times =
(220/221)^2000= .0115% or about 1/8700

Similarly, getting AA 0 out of 800 deals occurs 2.66% of the
time or 1/37.

Probability of being dealt a pair: (52/52)*(3/51) = 1/17. So expect a PP once every 17 hands on average. 0 out of 50 is not unbelievable.

Specifically, P(0 pairs on 50 deals) = (16/17)^50 = 4.83% or 1/21

Hope this was either enlightening or entertaining. At least it was for me.

seabas22 · High Card Joined: 16 Jul 2008 Posts: 18

So I'm in the top 3% for the worst hands possible over this stretch.

Loopholes202 · Posted: Sat Jul 19, 2008 5:38 pm Post subject:

bluestone10 · Posted: Sun Jul 20, 2008 7:01 pm Post subject:

just go play omaha, you'll get em soon enough

boking17 · Pair Joined: 24 Jun 2008 Posts: 32

You are forgetting about the times you sat out a hand or two to hit the bathroom or grab a soda. That's where the aces were Smile

-Bo

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