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auburnman05 High Card
Joined: 24 Feb 2006 Posts: 9
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Posted: Fri Mar 10, 2006 10:34 am Post subject: Could i fold in these situations? |
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Ok I was playing yesterday morning and ran into these situations. Is there anyway I could have gotten away from these hands. I was playing .10/.25 NL ring game.
First hand: I am in the small blind and am dealt pocket 9s. A player in middle position raises 3x the big blind. I am the only caller, The flop comes A K 9 rainbow. I check he bets out a small amount and I call. The next card was a spade putting two spades on the board. So i bet out 2/3 the pot and he raises and I call. The river comes rag and I bet out again and he pushes all in. I call and he flips over pocket kings. Lost about 23 dollars that hand.
Second Hand: I am in early position with A 10. I just call the big blind wanting to see a flop but planning on fold if their is a raise. No one raises and the flop come 10 K 10. I check and so does everyone else. The turn comes ace. I bet out and I get raised by the guy on the button. I just call. River comes rag. I check, he bets, I raise, he goes all in. I call and he flips over pocket kings to give him a better full house. I lose 29 dollars.
Third hand: I am in late position and am dealt A Q. I raise 3.5x the big blind to get rid of all the limpers and I get one call. The flop comes A Q Q. I check and other player checks. Turn comes and I bet he raises, I raise, he goes all in and I call. Yep, you guessed it, he had the rockets. I lose 20 dollars.
Oh yeah and all this happened in a 10 minute span. First hand is set over set, nothing too unbelievable, but the next two hands what are those guys doing trying to limp in with those hands. I couldn't believe my luck. My question is: Was there any possible way to get away from those hands? |
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frequenicity Four of a Kind
Joined: 03 Dec 2005 Posts: 270 Location: Lancaster, PA
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Posted: Fri Mar 10, 2006 10:53 am Post subject: |
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I'll keep it short.
Nope. If you start laying down trips or full houses because you are afraid of HIGHER trips or full houses (except in the rare case where you have a phenominal read on someon) you will ultimately be playing a losing game. |
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GxHxOxSxT Four of a Kind
Joined: 29 Nov 2005 Posts: 276 Location: Pittsburgh
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Posted: Fri Mar 10, 2006 11:02 am Post subject: |
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In the first scenario, you were destined to lose. In his books, Dan Harrinton tells us that the chances of someone flopping a higher set when you have a set are so minescule that you should never worry about it. Unfortunately for you, it does happen, but very infrequently.
The other two cases are very similar to each other so I am going to give you the one piece of advice for both of them; the same advice that I give players over and over again: BOARD IS PAIRED, BE SCARED! In both of those cases you were playing your cards without any consideration as to what the other player had. In both cases you had the second nuts. You should have recognized that and slowed down a little bit (it is afterall your money). Even Donks can flop monster hands; slow down and think it out. All good players change up their game from time to time, just limping with AA and KK to put smart/aggresive players off their game (it has happened to me more often than I'd like to admit in a public forum).
Anytime another player puts all his chips in the pot, take an extra few seconds to think things through; it can same you a lot of money. Also, don't put your opponent on a single hand, always pick several hands that he may be on and play accordingly.
Ghost |
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frequenicity Four of a Kind
Joined: 03 Dec 2005 Posts: 270 Location: Lancaster, PA
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Posted: Fri Mar 10, 2006 11:19 am Post subject: |
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| I semi-agree with Ghost about the second hand. However, I really don't think you can get away from the third one except to just check call his bets. Even then you are most likely going to be comitting all of your chips on the river anyway. With the second hand there were only 4 hands that were beating you (3 ways for KK, one way for AA), and in the third situation only one hand (only one possible combination for AA) was beating you. Where I fail to agree with Ghost is that an aggressive player in the second hand could have made the same play with K10, J10, or even 10rag considering the limping. So as I see it, there was no way to get away from hands 1 and 3, barring extreme circumstances...and it would take some serious thought to lay down hand two. Good thing FTP has a time clock....oh wait.....they don't. |
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goomlah Royal Flush
Joined: 08 Sep 2005 Posts: 614 Location: Chicago
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Posted: Fri Mar 10, 2006 11:43 am Post subject: I'll make this even simpler. |
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| You're going to win more pots than not when you flip over those hands, and no, you couldn't fold any one of those hands. |
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BOYNAMEDSUE Moderator
Joined: 27 Jun 2005 Posts: 7897 Location: Isle of Tilt
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Posted: Fri Mar 10, 2006 12:58 pm Post subject: |
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That's some stanky-ass bad luck. Shee-it!
I'm surprised you still play poker.
I've lost to a higher set once, maybe twice since I started playing on FTP in the summer of '04. Same goes for full houses. |
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GxHxOxSxT Four of a Kind
Joined: 29 Nov 2005 Posts: 276 Location: Pittsburgh
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Posted: Fri Mar 10, 2006 1:00 pm Post subject: Re: |
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| frequenicity wrote: |
| Where I fail to agree with Ghost is that an aggressive player in the second hand could have made the same play with K10, J10, or even 10rag considering the limping. So as I see it, there was no way to get away from hands 1 and 3, barring extreme circumstances...and it would take some serious thought to lay down hand two. Good thing FTP has a time clock....oh wait.....they don't. |
I totally agree with you Frequenicity that there are a whole bunch of rag combos that could have been played that would excite a poor player to go all-in and I agree when goomlah says that most of the time you are going to win when you turn over those hands, but when the board is paired and that little red light does not go off at least telling you that there is reason to be even slightly conscerned, then you're missing something.
I admitted in my post that I have been beaten in those situations many, many times and I think in all 3 of Auburn's situations I would have put all my chips in the pot also. There are plenty times where I have seen the red light, run through it and paid dearly for it, but there also have been times when I saw the red light, took a moment to think (under 30 seconds of course) and folded.
Learn to trust that first instinct as you develop as a poker player and you learn to put the other player on a range of hands. If you struggle with putting certain players on hands, then just ask yourself, "Do you think he would limp with pocket Aces or pocket Kings?" If the answer is yes, you may want to back off a bit. Dan Harrington says the key to poker is limiting your losses on bad hands as well as winning the maximum on your big hands. Sometimes you just have to lay down a big hand.
Ghost |
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frequenicity Four of a Kind
Joined: 03 Dec 2005 Posts: 270 Location: Lancaster, PA
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Posted: Fri Mar 10, 2006 1:06 pm Post subject: |
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Also, I might add...
When the board is paired, you DO need to be cautious. However, our friend here was facing a paired board that MADE his full house....that's just a really bad situation. If I took the 3 of those beats in a relatively short period, I would just walk away from my computer for a few days. |
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GxHxOxSxT Four of a Kind
Joined: 29 Nov 2005 Posts: 276 Location: Pittsburgh
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Posted: Fri Mar 10, 2006 1:20 pm Post subject: Re: |
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| frequenicity wrote: |
Also, I might add...
When the board is paired, you DO need to be cautious. However, our friend here was facing a paired board that MADE his full house....that's just a really bad situation. If I took the 3 of those beats in a relatively short period, I would just walk away from my computer for a few days. |
LOL, I wouldn't need to walk away from the computer because I probably would have thrown it out the window!!!
It reminds me a lot of the first hand of the 2005 WSOP between Sam Farha and some actor. The flop comes AAT and the actor has wired 10's (which made his full house) so he bets into it, Farha re-raises and the actor re-raise again all-in. Farha had AT and the actor wound up paying 10 grand for 1 hand of poker (you don't get a bracelet for that). Sometimes boats sink.
Ghost |
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Jaconda78 Message Board Junkie
Joined: 06 Jul 2005 Posts: 4177
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Posted: Fri Mar 10, 2006 1:25 pm Post subject: |
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| Ghost, are you seriously saying that you think he needs to slow down and stop betting his full house so hard? No way! You bet your boat like it's the nuts (unless you're playing omaha) and if you lose, you're just extremely unlucky. You simply can't be scared of bigger boats - especially when people often make moves like that when they simply have trips. |
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matt2411 Royal Flush
Joined: 07 Jan 2006 Posts: 559
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Posted: Fri Mar 10, 2006 2:28 pm Post subject: |
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no, you played that fine.
you have to be willing to die with a set unless a flush or a straight hits. Ive laid down ONE set because i knew i was up against a higher set. Out of the 150k hands ive played now thats the only time i was absolutely sure what i was up against.
hand went like this i have 55.
flop comes 257. I check, he bets, i think for a min and call (was thinking of raising but checkraising i dont like in this situation and i dont like betting, could scare him off, i want a card to come out that COULD help him if he has AK, AQ etc.
turn comes a T. i bet about 3/4 the pot. he smooth calls, that sends of warning bells in my head. He would have only raised preflop with TT, JJ, QQ, KK, AA, AK , AQ. if he had AK or AQ he would have folded to that bet, and if he had AA or KK he would have raised (probably would have raised with QQ also, maybe even JJ but i dont overthink so i just eliminated AA/KK until i got more information). So now he could only have TT, JJ, QQ.
river comes a Q.
Now i can only beat JJ. everything other likely holding can beat me. But i bet, so he cant just bet it for me and take it away. He pushes for an additional 120. I think for a good 25 seconds right before i am autofolded, and i show and fold my 5s. Pretty sure that he had TT or QQ. sure as crap he flipped over TT.
moral of this story, if you aren't 100% certain he has a few sets of Hole cards, and all but maybe 1 can beat you, you have to continue.
ive had the inkling that i was in for set over set before, but never folded and made them show me the higher set. 99.99999% of the time you cant fold a set because you think he might have a higher set. |
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auburnman05 High Card
Joined: 24 Feb 2006 Posts: 9
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Posted: Fri Mar 10, 2006 3:08 pm Post subject: |
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| Well thanks for the opinions guys, I appreciate it. Jaconda is right, why the hell am I still playing poker? Well i deposited 300 a couple days ago and after that 70 dollar swing and a couple other suckouts and bad plays on my part i am reduced to just over 100 so I withdrew and am going to take some time off. I think yall would understand after the hands I already mentioned above. So I will see you guys in a few months. |
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GxHxOxSxT Four of a Kind
Joined: 29 Nov 2005 Posts: 276 Location: Pittsburgh
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Posted: Fri Mar 10, 2006 3:37 pm Post subject: Re: |
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| Jaconda78 wrote: |
| Ghost, are you seriously saying that you think he needs to slow down and stop betting his full house so hard? No way! You bet your boat like it's the nuts (unless you're playing omaha) and if you lose, you're just extremely unlucky. You simply can't be scared of bigger boats - especially when people often make moves like that when they simply have trips. |
Please read my post again, because it did not say to stop betting. In fact, I said over and over again that I would have done the same exact thing that Auburn did.
[u]Think[/u]:1 a : to exercise the powers of judgment, conception, or inference : REASON b : to have in the mind or call to mind a thought
2 a : to have the mind engaged in reflection : MEDITATE b : to consider the suitability <thought of her for president>
3 : to have a view or opinion <thinks of himself as a poet>
4 : to have concern -- usually used with of <a man must think first of his family>
5 : to consider something likely : SUSPECT <may happen sooner than you think>
My posts did say to stop and think. I don't care if you have a boat, you still have to have some idea what the other guy had. One of the reasons that you bet all-in is not because you have a really good hand or because you really like your hand, but because you believe that your hand is better than your opponents. You play the player. Yes your cards are extremely important, but they should not be the only thing that you are thinking about.
If you think about the whole hand and you can't put him on a bigger boat, then you definitely bet away, but take 10 seconds and think about it first. Ask yourself the easy question, did he have pocket kings or did he have pocket aces? If the answer is no way in heck did he have those , then bet away. If you only put him on a 25% chance of having those hands, bet away. But if you take a few seconds and think about it (rather than pushing all in and then thinking), especially when that little warning sign is going off in your head and you say to yourself, there is a really good chance he has the hand that could beat me, then you have to THINK about laying it down (it doesnt mean that you have to fold, but it should at least come into consideration).
Its funny that I should come back to this post right now because I just played two hands with little or no thought at all which consequentially busted me out of a tournament. The final hand I had the second nut flush and he of course had the first. The second I was clicking the call button the thought was flashing through my head, you know what, he probably does have the Q, but then it was too late. Oh well.
Ghost
PS My computer is still intact. |
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_Xceptional Royal Flush
Joined: 20 Aug 2005 Posts: 559 Location: Sacramento, CA
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Posted: Fri Mar 10, 2006 4:01 pm Post subject: |
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Of course you can't fold these hands, what a silly question. Please people, stop posting situations that are obvious . . . you're talking about folding fullhouses and sets...c'mon, it's 25NL.
I don't think there's a situation in 25NL in which I'm ever thinking about folding the 2nd nut full house . . . folding this hand is by far a -EV play in the long run. To tell him to slow down is purely results oriented, and that's why I hate when people post hand histories like this, you're not going to get any worthy advice with a post like this. It's simple dude, obviously you're not folding in those situations, you're way pot committed, and you have the 2nd nuts . . . good lord. |
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comin4you Straight Flush
Joined: 25 Jan 2006 Posts: 353 Location: Mar Vista, CA
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Posted: Fri Mar 10, 2006 4:20 pm Post subject: |
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| Like everyone said, good playing, bad luck. I don't think there are too many people in the world who would have been able to get away from any of those hands. Set over set simply sucks, but it happens. Same for boat over boat. Thankfuly I have not been in too many of those situations. One time when I was I managed to suck out the fourth 9 on the turn v. set of aces. Phew. |
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