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mgodd Message Board Junkie
Joined: 31 Dec 2007 Posts: 1210 Location: North Carolina
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Posted: Wed Jul 02, 2008 10:03 pm Post subject: $1 turbo rebuy (5K guaranteed) - AK utg all-in decision |
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Villain recently got moved to my table, the only hand I have seen him play so far was a shove with AQs in the BB with about 4 or 5 limpers in the pot. Not really sure what to make of this gigantic overbet here though. Can I really lay this down here, considering what the size my stack will be compared to the blinds? Also, keep in mind this is a turbo. Somewhat nearing the bubble, 387 players remaining, top 110 cash. Call or fold?
No Limit Holdem Tournament
9 players
Converted at
Stacks:
Hero (14895)
UTG+1 (9210)
MP1 (31995)
MP2 (13300)
MP3 (24920)
CO (19190)
BTN (26025)
SB (9555)
BB (27455)
[CO posted 100]
[BTN posted 100]
[SB posted 100]
[BB posted 100]
[Hero posted 100]
[UTG+1 posted 100]
[MP1 posted 100]
[MP2 posted 100]
[MP3 posted 100]
Blinds: 400/800
Pre-flop: (2100, 9 players) Hero is UTG 
Hero raises to 2000, 3 folds, MP3 goes all-in 24720, 4 folds, Hero ??? |
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Important Boy Banned
Joined: 01 Jun 2008 Posts: 771 Location: North Melbourne, Australia.
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Posted: Thu Jul 03, 2008 4:43 am Post subject: |
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Call. If someone shoved there stack all in, in a Turbo and I woke up with Big Slick i'd Instantly call it.
Btw, what did you Convert this hand with? I like it. |
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mgodd Message Board Junkie
Joined: 31 Dec 2007 Posts: 1210 Location: North Carolina
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Posted: Thu Jul 03, 2008 1:24 pm Post subject: |
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| Important Boy wrote: |
| Btw, what did you Convert this hand with? I like it. |
I converted it using the www.weaktight.com hand converter. It is kind of a pain though, you have to register on their site and login to use the converter. And you can't convert it for this forum's settings, so I used the CardRunners forum settings and did some of my own editing to make it work here. I just used this because it was the only one I could find that would convert UB hand histories. |
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Raddow Royal Flush
Joined: 03 Jan 2008 Posts: 751
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Posted: Thu Jul 03, 2008 7:39 pm Post subject: |
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tuff spot...
But i think maybe u can gamble here bearing in mind this is a turbo and your given stack.
lets just put villain on TT+
equity win tie pots won pots tied
Hand 0: 36.997% 36.71% 00.29% 181030524 1418364.00 { AKo }
Hand 1: 63.003% 62.72% 00.29% 309276300 1418364.00 { TT+ }
mh.. not too good. But u mentioned his all-in with AQs, lets put it in as well...
equity win tie pots won pots tied
Hand 0: 41.149% 37.55% 03.59% 223779612 21418626.00 { AKo }
Hand 1: 58.851% 55.26% 03.59% 329264928 21418626.00 { TT+, AQs+ }
..meh, less change then i thought. mh... maybe he won't push AA & KK (only small value raises with it)
Hand 0: 47.064% 42.67% 04.39% 201670872 20751780.00 { AKo }
Hand 1: 52.936% 48.54% 04.39% 229421472 20751780.00 { QQ-TT, AQs+ }
now you are good, but well, no reads no stats, i really don't know what to do.
I think this is one of those times u should follow ur guts.
On the other hand... like 1/2 an hour ago i called an AI wiht AK from the tightest player at my table and he revealed 55 with about 20BB in his stack ($11 MTT) ... considering it was a $1(+R) tourney i tend more to call, cause of the bad plays given there! |
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jodep Pair
Joined: 04 Jul 2008 Posts: 29
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Posted: Fri Jul 04, 2008 8:34 pm Post subject: |
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personally i would call since he showed AQs .
And in these SNGs , a lot of people push all in with A-X
And you are pretty much low stack and if you fold you will be at around 15 BB's and pretty much forced to be all in your next pot . |
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chipengineer2 High Card
Joined: 20 May 2008 Posts: 18
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Posted: Sat Jul 05, 2008 10:04 am Post subject: Re: $1 turbo rebuy (5K guaranteed) - AK utg all-in decision |
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[quote="mgodd"]Villain recently got moved to my table, the only hand I have seen him play so far was a shove with AQs in the BB with about 4 or 5 limpers in the pot.
Thats a pretty aggresive play and makes you think he could be pushing with a number of hands here. A medium pair or a big ace would be my guess. With your stack v. blinds and the fact its a turbo I think your only play is to call.
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