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Online Poker Forum - How do you play a missed 3-bet AK?

 
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nilgiri
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Joined: 11 Jan 2007
Posts: 2089
Location: New Hampshire

PostPosted: Thu Jun 12, 2008 9:13 am    Post subject: How do you play a missed 3-bet AK? Reply with quote

Here's an example hand, and maybe it will help me in general...

EDIT: Reads are good. Villain is 21/18/1.5(248). I'm running like 24/19/9 or so (very aggressive at this table). He's seen me play about 50 hands.

Full Tilt Poker, $0.50/$1 NL Hold'em Cash Game, 6 Players
LeggoPoker.com - Hand History Converter

MP: $126.35
CO: $110.30
BTN: $30.80
Hero (SB): $133.30
BB: $156.95
UTG: $101.50

Pre-Flop: A K dealt to Hero (SB)
UTG raises to $4, 3 folds, Hero raises to $13, BB folds, UTG calls $9

Flop: ($27) 4 7 5 (2 Players)
Hero ???


Last edited by nilgiri on Thu Jun 12, 2008 10:27 am; edited 1 time in total
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StevieWard
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Joined: 12 Jul 2007
Posts: 1552

PostPosted: Thu Jun 12, 2008 9:22 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

Bet around $23 and hope to take it down.

Things to think about though:

Depending on your read, you might have to distinguish if that flop could be part of their range, and similarly if they believe it is part of yours, as the only 2 things you could be representing here would be a flush draw or an over pair.

If they call, again read dependant they could be on a draw also, so a 2nd barrel may be required.

As nitty as this sounds, I have also found myself checking the flop after a 3 bet - if you really dont think its a good flop, theres no point putting more money in when they will raise/call you easily or not believe you.
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HuJwang
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Joined: 20 Aug 2006
Posts: 6431
Location: Halifax, NS

PostPosted: Thu Jun 12, 2008 3:14 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

$23 is a bit excessive imo. i bet more like $17, since it's what i'd normally bet if i had AA there. villain's stats tells me he is likely to be good enough to pick up on variations in c-bet sizing.
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Riddim
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Joined: 04 Dec 2005
Posts: 8151
Location: Sweden

PostPosted: Thu Jun 12, 2008 6:22 pm    Post subject: Re: How do you play a missed 3-bet AK? Reply with quote

nilgiri wrote:
EDIT: Reads are good.


So why not give us some? With only the stats to go on though, there's a good chance I'd just c/f this flop. A lot of villains will rarely have any kind of unpaired hand once he calls PF (except for maybe AQ) and he's basically never folding a pair on this flop. Given your aggro image and the board texture I'm not a big fan of betting with the intention of firing the turn a lot, so checkfolding is the only reasonable option left.
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lovebeefstew
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Joined: 19 Apr 2007
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PostPosted: Thu Jun 12, 2008 7:01 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

Yeh im inclined to agree with Riddim. Without any reads on this guy id find it hard to put more money into that pot with that flop. It would smell of a bluff if he has any sort of hand.
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StevieWard
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Joined: 12 Jul 2007
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PostPosted: Fri Jun 13, 2008 3:42 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

HuJwang wrote:
$23 is a bit excessive imo. i bet more like $17, since it's what i'd normally bet if i had AA there. villain's stats tells me he is likely to be good enough to pick up on variations in c-bet sizing.


Ah ok - I dont really pay attention to the stats as I dont have PT.
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nilgiri
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Joined: 11 Jan 2007
Posts: 2089
Location: New Hampshire

PostPosted: Fri Jun 13, 2008 8:53 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

Ok, so I made a c-bet. Slightly smaller than what you recommended, Hu. I have a range of bet sizes that I'd bet here, and $15 is within the range. (Keep in mine there is a $1.35 rake, making the pot $25.65. $15 is pretty much a 3/5 pot bet, not closer to a 1/2 pot bet like it seems with $27.) I have no idea if the villain would know that, because I don't know how many 3-bet pots I've c-bet with him around. Most 3-bets I make are not called.

Full Tilt Poker, $0.50/$1 NL Hold'em Cash Game, 6 Players
LeggoPoker.com - Hand History Converter

MP: $126.35
CO: $110.30
BTN: $30.80
Hero (SB): $133.30
BB: $156.95
UTG: $101.50

Pre-Flop: A K dealt to Hero (SB)
UTG raises to $4, 3 folds, Hero raises to $13, BB folds, UTG calls $9

Flop: ($27) 4 7 5 (2 Players)
Hero bets $15, UTG calls $15

Turn: ($57) 9 (2 Players)
Hero ???
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HuJwang
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Joined: 20 Aug 2006
Posts: 6431
Location: Halifax, NS

PostPosted: Fri Jun 13, 2008 9:00 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

now you give up.
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StevieWard
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Joined: 12 Jul 2007
Posts: 1552

PostPosted: Fri Jun 13, 2008 10:09 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

HuJwang wrote:
now you give up.


+1.
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nilgiri
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Joined: 11 Jan 2007
Posts: 2089
Location: New Hampshire

PostPosted: Fri Jun 13, 2008 10:36 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

Ok. I check/folded OTT.

I also just noticed those other replies, sorry guys. I don't remember any actual relevant reads on this guy. I do like the c/f suggestion for the flop, and was wondering whether that was a reasonable line. I just wonder how that affects the times I have something I do want action with.
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reitking1
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Joined: 12 Mar 2008
Posts: 8

PostPosted: Fri Jun 13, 2008 10:59 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

I don't like the c/f line on this type of flop typically, but I think it's good to vary your play. This is a hand where you quite possibly are beat and I agree that he's not folding anything that does have you beat since you're seen as aggressive. So I think this is a good time to skip the c-bet.

Definitely give up the turn.
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Riddim
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Joined: 04 Dec 2005
Posts: 8151
Location: Sweden

PostPosted: Fri Jun 13, 2008 11:37 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

Meh, people will still not fold a pair to a c-bet most of the time here so shutting down when we miss isn't a big deal when it comes to getting action when we do have something. Some people will adjust and start calling your 3-bets more after seeing you give up like that tough, in which case you can start to c-bet profitably.
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