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ThePhoenix78 Royal Flush
Joined: 19 Jan 2007 Posts: 861 Location: On a big pile of money with many beautiful women
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Posted: Sat May 17, 2008 12:27 pm Post subject: $30 SnG, raise with QQ after a limper, re-raised by TAG BB, still early...what to do? |
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Well, it's been a while, but I've been doing great lately...feeling very confident in my game. But here's a hand where I was really lost on what to do. The limper in this hand limps or min raises to enter most pots. The re-raiser has struck me as a solid, TAG player. Seen him raise preflop a couple of times without having to show, but in general, doesn't seem to get involved in too many pots. That said, what's your preflop play? I really had no clue...calling is probably bad, but figured he's only re-raising with TT+ and AK, so thought I'd take a flop. If it's a good flop for me, I am going broke anyways if he has KK or AA, so figured taking a flop at least gives me a chance to exit if I sense he's strong. Could be wrong though, could put me on trying to steal after the LAG limper who would often play passively. Anyways, after the flop bet, do you have to call with the overpair? AA, KK, and now JJ have me beat. Think he'd make that move with AK or on a bluff?
Full Tilt Poker Game #6451343184: $30 + $3 Sit & Go (49058453), Table 1 - 25/50 - No Limit Hold'em - 11:14:47 ET - 2008/05/17
Seat 1: rwu2003 (2,010)
Seat 2: Contenence82 (1,505)
Seat 3: Crispt (1,395)
Seat 4: utsch (1,705)
Seat 5: ThePhoenix78 (1,615)
Seat 6: Mycology (1,140)
Seat 7: augustwest11 (1,875)
Seat 8: Gabe118 (1,605)
Seat 9: Pronto7852 (650)
Mycology posts the small blind of 25
augustwest11 posts the big blind of 50
The button is in seat #5
*** HOLE CARDS ***
Dealt to ThePhoenix78 [Qs Qc]
Gabe118 folds
Pronto7852 folds
rwu2003 folds
Contenence82 folds
Crispt folds
utsch calls 50
ThePhoenix78 raises to 225
Mycology folds
augustwest11 has 15 seconds left to act
augustwest11 raises to 750
utsch folds
ThePhoenix78 has 15 seconds left to act
ThePhoenix78 has requested TIME
ThePhoenix78 calls 525
*** FLOP *** [7d Jc 6c]
augustwest11 bets 1,125, and is all in
ThePhoenix78 ??? |
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live4freerolls Message Board Junkie
Joined: 23 Nov 2006 Posts: 2070 Location: Trolling Poker Stories OBV
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Posted: Sat May 17, 2008 4:47 pm Post subject: |
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| augustwest11 1,095 $2 $24 8% $1,925 - Seeing those stats I would fold as his range for 4betting pf is only QQ+ imo. Also flatting vs anyone there is just terrible, shove it or fold it. |
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craigo6x Message Board Junkie
Joined: 30 Oct 2006 Posts: 2568 Location: 1st Place
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Posted: Sat May 17, 2008 4:48 pm Post subject: |
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| You took a flop for 1/2 your stack and got the best possible flop for your hand. Folding here is bad. If you got outdrawn or coolered it happens. For me, if you are going to play the Qs, repush preflop. |
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esperz Full House
Joined: 10 Apr 2008 Posts: 220
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Posted: Sat May 17, 2008 8:22 pm Post subject: |
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I'm with craig. If you called with it already guessing what he had, saw the best flop for you, you got to shove.
I see no reason to fold based off of your PF play. What were you looking for? A K or A to justify a fold?
But reason dictates that he has you beat 75% of the time. Next time, fold it PF. As of right now, you can't fold it. |
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nilgiri Message Board Junkie
Joined: 11 Jan 2007 Posts: 1286 Location: New Hampshire
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Posted: Sun May 18, 2008 11:50 am Post subject: |
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| esperz wrote: |
| I'm with craig. If you called with it already guessing what he had, saw the best flop for you, you got to shove. |
Assuming a range of TT+,AK, this flop is actually not only not the best, it is actually bad. Now, in addition to AA and KK, we are beat by JJ as well.
| esperz wrote: |
| But reason dictates that he has you beat 75% of the time. Next time, fold it PF. As of right now, you can't fold it. |
Where are you are getting this number? I don't think we are beat nearly this often.
I'm calling this, though, because we called the PF raise. With that much in the middle, the chance that he's shoving with TT or AK (or QQ) makes it worth calling IMHO.
FWIW I think calling PF is bad. If you really think he is only reraising with TT+, AK, then you want to either shove and take the slight edge you have (if you play that way -- I do) or fold. IMHO calling is so weird/weak that with your stacks, a player like this is just going to shove 100% of the time. So you still have no FE, and now you often have to make a tough decision OTF.
By the way, congratulations on reaching the $30 level! |
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dcdoorknob Royal Flush
Joined: 11 May 2007 Posts: 903 Location: Mississippi
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Posted: Sun May 18, 2008 1:12 pm Post subject: |
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| I've played QQ like that before on a few occasions, but I was pretty well convinced afterwards that I played it wrong. I agree that the decision must be made preflop. Push it or fold it. I haven't played enough at the $30 level to know which one is best, mostly because I am just being insanely conservative in my BR management. |
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nilgiri Message Board Junkie
Joined: 11 Jan 2007 Posts: 1286 Location: New Hampshire
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Posted: Sun May 18, 2008 3:08 pm Post subject: |
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I think the only reason I would ever play QQ like that is if I am up against some weird donk who likes to try to steal by 3-betting, but folds if he gets 4-bet, despite the odds he is getting. Then it would make sense, because he'll probably try to bluff me OTF, but would otherwise fold PF. I have run into these types occasionally, but not nearly often enough that it would be that bad to never call.
With deeper stacks I might consider calling in other circumstances as well. |
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esperz Full House
Joined: 10 Apr 2008 Posts: 220
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Posted: Sun May 18, 2008 7:29 pm Post subject: |
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Reason I'm saying he's beat 75% of the time is this:
All preflop...
ThePhoenix78 raises to 225
Mycology folds
augustwest11 has 15 seconds left to act
augustwest11 raises to 750
What are the hands someone would reraise with against a decent raise in the first place? 4 hands come to mind... AA, KK, AK, QQ, JJ.
Of those hands, what does he have beat? |
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nilgiri Message Board Junkie
Joined: 11 Jan 2007 Posts: 1286 Location: New Hampshire
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Posted: Sun May 18, 2008 8:45 pm Post subject: |
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| esperz wrote: |
What are the hands someone would reraise with against a decent raise in the first place? 4 hands come to mind... AA, KK, AK, QQ, JJ.
Of those hands, what does he have beat? |
Even against JJ+,AK he is only losing about 55.7% of the time AI OTF. (In the OP he estimates his range at TT+,AK, which is even better for us.) |
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