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Online Poker Forum - What level does reasonable skill prevail?
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Post new topic   Reply to topic    Online Poker Forum Home -> No Limit/Pot Limit Strategy Discussion
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fiddlepuck
Three of a Kind


Joined: 03 Sep 2007
Posts: 78
Location: Victoria, BC, Canada

PostPosted: Sun Feb 24, 2008 9:31 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

ALL I WANTED TO KNOW IS AT WHAT LEVEL FULL BUY IN 1.8:1 CHASES become less the norm, and more the rarity.



thats the only kind of answer I am looking for. if I called full buy ins on a wish and a prayer, id be broke. You know it. Everyone who reads this knows it. You guys have just decided to be agro for some reason.

and if played as you guys would suggest, Id have played 0 out of the last 474 hands, since I havent had a top 20 hand. And I wouldnt be up a full buy in, after starting out down a full buy in. The fact is I called with a marginal hand against a player who had routinely been showing he was raising weakly. I made this call specifically against this specific player. No other. He happened to have a hand that time. He had raised 5 of the last 7 hands. and had oflded on the turn on 4 of them. its not as horrible a call as it looks, and you guys know it.

I played 500 hands tonight. I saw a flop 17% of the time. I won 70% of the hands I played. I dont play as bad as you guys are suggesting.


Last edited by fiddlepuck on Sun Feb 24, 2008 9:52 am; edited 3 times in total
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DJ Ninjah
Message Board Junkie


Joined: 17 Apr 2006
Posts: 2567
Location: New York, NY

PostPosted: Sun Feb 24, 2008 9:32 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

Lol, I play 27/21 and I still wouldn't call JTo there. Move to 100nl 6-max on FTP please.
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Big Slick x13x
Forum Icon


Joined: 18 Jun 2006
Posts: 4117
Location: ROK

PostPosted: Sun Feb 24, 2008 9:39 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

First I'll say that thinking will prevail over push and pray at every level. At the lower limits there is just more variance because there's more people praying.

fiddlepuck wrote:
Maybe its casue you cant lay down AA?


Or maybe it's because we've played enough of these crap limits to know that laying down AA with 100bb stacks is throwing away money vs at least 90% of the players. You're just not deep enough to make the lay down on the flop when there are retards out there pushing trash around all the time.

I have check folded AA on the river before, and I have folded AA on the flop without putting a dime in on that street. Was I right? Yes. Is it a seemingly normal occurrence? Definitely not. Maybe that's why I'm winning 94% of the time I have AA dealt to me. The losses were actually to AK fwiw.
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sixandfour
Royal Flush


Joined: 31 Mar 2007
Posts: 536
Location: Far from home

PostPosted: Sun Feb 24, 2008 10:37 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

yeah, WE went agro Rolling Eyes

I'll even answer your question. Never do people stop chasing. There's always some idiot with more money than sense. Every day some banker who doesn't remember whether a flush beats a straight or the other way round is going to deposit 1K and jump right on the $5/10 table. Enjoy the fact that they're around because long term, you'll be richer for it. Over time, you'll lose some of your Hellmuth and be able to accept the bad with the good.
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mathman1115
Wizard of Odderation


Joined: 01 Sep 2005
Posts: 2986
Location: Land of the Fightin' Phillies

PostPosted: Sun Feb 24, 2008 11:39 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

fiddlepuck wrote:
ALL I WANTED TO KNOW IS AT WHAT LEVEL FULL BUY IN 1.8:1 CHASES become less the norm, and more the rarity.


The fact is this question cannot really be answered. You have to understand that these "chases" are not really chases if there appears to be large implied odds. In addition, maybe your oppenent has a read on you. Not all online players are idiots.

I remember one session there was this hand where some dude raised PF 8x the BB. He did this twice before and was dumb enough to show AK one time and 99 another time. He got one caller from the button (i was out of the hand). The flop came Qxx. The OPFR shoved his fairly large stack all in and the button called, showing QJs. The OPFR had TT.

After the hand, naturally the OPFR started typing in the chatbox, ranting and raving how you can call such a large PF raise with QJ and how you can call off your whole stack with just a pair of queens.

The fact was, based on past playing style, the button played the hand perfect. He went with his read based on what the other guy was doing. I had him on the same type of hand and probably would have called as well. My point is not everything is ABC and some players play on instincts and reads.

And i'm still confused as to why you are trying to find a level where your opponents don't make mistakes and don't chase with poor odds. How do you expect to make money in the long term by trying to find the players that are better than you?
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DJ Ninjah
Message Board Junkie


Joined: 17 Apr 2006
Posts: 2567
Location: New York, NY

PostPosted: Sun Feb 24, 2008 12:44 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

mathman1115 wrote:

And i'm still confused as to why you are trying to find a level where your opponents don't make mistakes and don't chase with poor odds. How do you expect to make money in the long term by trying to find the players that are better than you?


DJ Ninjah wrote:
Move to 100nl 6-max on FTP please
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fiddlepuck
Three of a Kind


Joined: 03 Sep 2007
Posts: 78
Location: Victoria, BC, Canada

PostPosted: Sun Feb 24, 2008 3:03 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

Mathman... thx for the nice response. Why do i want to play against superior players???

By Practicing against better players, you become better. Guess I'm looking for a challenge first, fun second, profit third. While at the same time don't want to get too far over my head.
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big-boy-ramsey
Message Board Junkie


Joined: 29 Nov 2007
Posts: 1175
Location: tilting my ass off!

PostPosted: Sun Feb 24, 2008 3:37 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

I basically asked the same question but my thread was at what point does the bluff become a tool you can use.

My solution became to go back and shore up my own game and the pray for the longshot calls.And you will get them at all levels,and yes,sometimes they catch,i think we remember these times alot more than the times they dont.
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youlovedonkeys
High Card


Joined: 14 Feb 2008
Posts: 6

PostPosted: Mon Feb 25, 2008 5:41 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

so far, big slick, ninja, sixandfour, and mathman have give great and thoughtful responses. for that and for your other responses thank you. fiddlepuck, it seems to me that all you do in your posts is pick fights with the other posters. If you want to play against better players feel free to move up to the 25/50 Cole would love to take your money. But if you want to have fun, play against better players and make a profit at the same time, sit at my table any time. (not be a jerk, but you talk too much and agrue too many points to make responding further to you worth helping others.

IMHO
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airc25
High Card


Joined: 05 Mar 2008
Posts: 5

PostPosted: Wed Mar 05, 2008 4:01 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

a 3 outer. You are not talking about the guy with 9 outs for the flush are you. that is about 32% chance of hitting after the flop. So any ways you are mad becuase he mad the wrong play and it worked out for him. I have seen alot of wrong plays and I dont think that that is a big one there. Everyone online makes that play and brick and mortar too. A bad play would be when you call a donk BECAUSE he is a donk, and then get mad becuase he is a DONK. Donks are the reason you can make money playing poker. And yes, not running good is alot better than running bad. I have had 10 sets in a day of cards and had to rebuy after 4 of them. I have hit nut flushes only to have a donk call with TPTK and hit rr full house. That is were you are running good but just not good enough. So when the post was made about you running good. Not getting hit hard with those 3 or 4 sets you had WAS running good. Your here to find flaws? It doesn't sound like it.
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PokerJessO
Straight Flush


Joined: 28 Jun 2007
Posts: 401

PostPosted: Wed Mar 05, 2008 3:26 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

airc25 wrote:
a 3 outer. You are not talking about the guy with 9 outs for the flush are you.


Yeah, it turns out that villain only had 9 outs. But he didn't know Hero had 2 pair. For all he knew, aces and queens could've been outs too. Since Hero just checked, AA-10 10 are very unlikely, and the odds of ATC hitting two pair was pretty slim.

You just joined the table and posted UTG, so he probably read you as a complete donk who would do this with 10x, so he figured he had 15 outs. A very reasonable assumption IMO, and very reasonable play considering the information he had.

BTW, incase you didn't catch the implication that I made in the above paragraph, POSTING UTG IS A DONK MOVE!
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rldcakqj10
Flush


Joined: 08 Dec 2007
Posts: 143
Location: Probation out on bail fresh outta jail

PostPosted: Thu Mar 06, 2008 10:30 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

.....wow...........w....ooooooo.....w!! Sorry guys im speechless, cant finish this reply/plus im late as H#LL...bye now!
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FlopDog7
Full House


Joined: 07 Oct 2007
Posts: 209
Location: Poker Heaven

PostPosted: Sat Mar 08, 2008 4:51 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

My Dogish opinion (I ain't no expert):

Hand1- I often find playing hard with bottom 2 pair to be quite dangerous. If he's already paired the top, and the board pairs or he pairs his other card you are dead. I see that happen a lot. Plus, people know they have 9 outs on a flush draw (about 3:1 odds), and often gamble with it (you said you just saw him do that). With his AQs, I think he put you on top pair, and thought he had 6 more outs. His big raise was probably a semi-bluff, and he thought you would fold. I'll bet he was surprised you called, despite the pot odds.

Hand2- I think both players played as might be expected. You effectively trapped with your trips, he play hard with his AA, although if he was smarter, he would have at least seriously thought about you having a J before calling with the rest of his stack.

For what it's worth, my analysis is probably full of holes (like my game Laughing), lol.
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Bad Beats 4 U
Flush


Joined: 15 Nov 2005
Posts: 126

PostPosted: Sat Mar 08, 2008 10:08 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

Quote:
his previous raises were all BS, and he had fired two bullets into pots several times with no hand.)


Just got CAUGHT in a LIE!
You said this was the 1st and 4th hand that you sat down but then say his previous raises were BS and he fired two bullets SEVERAL TIMES w/ no hand, how did ALL THAT HAPPEN within the 1st 4 hands?
I smell BS!
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preya
Pair


Joined: 03 Aug 2005
Posts: 43

PostPosted: Sun Mar 16, 2008 10:36 pm    Post subject: Re: What level does reasonable skill prevail? Reply with quote

fiddlepuck wrote:
Funny I can do well in 1/2, but get my ass kicked at 5c/10c.


Best. Poster. Ever.
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