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fire_eyes_2k The Burn Card
Joined: 18 Jan 2006 Posts: 3469 Location: London
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Posted: Tue Feb 13, 2007 9:23 pm Post subject: Can we confidently give up on 11-1? |
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Rarely do I ever want to kill someone at the table for a suckout, but I was feeling pretty damned homicidal. Too homicidal to convert the hand to the pretty card pictures.
Villain is 30/9.3/0.5
PokerStars Game #8429066517: Hold'em Limit ($2/$4) - 2007/02/13 - 21:09:08 (ET)
Table 'Salvia' 10-max Seat #4 is the button
Seat 1: stevolamb ($9.50 in chips)
Seat 2: qhqhnt ($50 in chips)
Seat 3: mony4nuthin ($97 in chips)
Seat 4: Fish_Light ($134.50 in chips)
Seat 5: kickabuck68 ($221 in chips)
Seat 6: FourTeller ($46 in chips)
Seat 7: Yogurthluder ($66 in chips)
Seat 8: polochips ($179 in chips)
Seat 9: fire_eyes_2K ($100 in chips)
Seat 10: Fang41 ($37 in chips)
kickabuck68: posts small blind $1
FourTeller: posts big blind $2
*** HOLE CARDS ***
Dealt to fire_eyes_2K [Ac Ad]
Yogurthluder: folds
polochips: folds
fire_eyes_2K: raises $2 to $4
Fang41: folds
stevolamb: folds
qhqhnt: folds
mony4nuthin: folds
Fish_Light: folds
kickabuck68: raises $2 to $6
FourTeller: calls $4
fire_eyes_2K: calls $2
*** FLOP *** [5d 9c 7c]
kickabuck68: bets $2
FourTeller: calls $2
fire_eyes_2K: raises $2 to $4
kickabuck68: calls $2
FourTeller: calls $2
*** TURN *** [5d 9c 7c] [8c]
kickabuck68: checks
FourTeller: checks
fire_eyes_2K: bets $4
kickabuck68: calls $4
FourTeller: calls $4
*** RIVER *** [5d 9c 7c 8c] [6d]
kickabuck68: checks
FourTeller: bets $4
fire_eyes_2K said, "omfg"
Call or muck&chuck? |
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Riddim Moderator
Joined: 04 Dec 2005 Posts: 8151 Location: Sweden
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Posted: Tue Feb 13, 2007 10:41 pm Post subject: |
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| The problem here is that you're not getting 11:1, but somewhere between 5.5:1 and 4:1 depending on how often the 3rd player will overcall. Any kind of read might be helpful here. Does he seem like the kind of player that would try to bet you off a chop in this situation? |
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IABoomer Moderator
Joined: 29 Oct 2006 Posts: 4371
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Posted: Tue Feb 13, 2007 10:45 pm Post subject: |
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| TT or worse (in this case) someone getting frisky with JT both have me leery of the straight possibilities. Add to that the flush on the turn and since you didn't re-suck the nut flush on the river, I think you have to lay down one pair that doesn't even play. At best, you're in a 3-way chop. At worst, you've got nothing. |
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deadmoney314 Message Board Junkie
Joined: 16 Jul 2005 Posts: 3228 Location: grunching through reply posts
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Posted: Wed Feb 14, 2007 10:44 am Post subject: |
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Usually I call this without even thinking regardless of opponent. Maybe its a leak and I should analyze it.
However, with villain's 0.5 AF and the way it played I'd be pretty inclined to fold. |
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mathman1115 Wizard of Odderation
Joined: 01 Sep 2005 Posts: 3085 Location: Land of the Fightin' Phillies
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Posted: Wed Feb 21, 2007 10:38 pm Post subject: |
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there is $42 in the pot at the river. You need to call $4 to win 1/3 of it, or $14, assuming a 3 way split. Your odds are 3.5 to 1, so you have to be at least about 25% sure of a three way split for this to be profitable.
The only argument for calling here is that the player may have bet the river hoping to get 1 of you to fold, so he could split the pot in half instead of into thirds (but i doubt it). He couldn't possibly think that both of you will fold, so it is likely he has it. There are many playable hands he could have here for a flush or a higher str8, and betting into two players like this to me indicates a 90% chance he has a better hand then the board, so i think you mathematically should fold here.
LOL, but i would probably call anyway. It's just tough to fold in these situations, especially in limit.
BTW, why didn't you cap it preflop??? |
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deadmoney314 Message Board Junkie
Joined: 16 Jul 2005 Posts: 3228 Location: grunching through reply posts
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Posted: Thu Feb 22, 2007 11:24 am Post subject: |
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| Yeah, my experience has been that people bet air here pretty much 100% of the time, I don't remember when at least the person in position didn't bet this to get someone to drop. The great thing is to get into a multi-way capping war with the board showing broadway and seeing someone reluctantly fold |
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awj94122 High Card
Joined: 22 Apr 2007 Posts: 4
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Posted: Sun Apr 22, 2007 9:44 pm Post subject: |
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| There are too many draws out there that can crack your AA. There is nothing wrong with folding here. But for one more bet, the call is tempting. |
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pimpdup34 Full House
Joined: 28 Feb 2007 Posts: 185
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Posted: Sun Apr 22, 2007 10:42 pm Post subject: |
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| On another note, in a pretty big tournament the other day, the board is an ace high straight with no flush draw. The pot was already huge, 4 people to the river, I go all in with the A-high straight being everyone's hand... 2 of the 4 of us folded... wow |
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ManilaDog Message Board Junkie
Joined: 09 Feb 2007 Posts: 3964 Location: Brockton Ma and Republic Of Philippines
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Posted: Sun Apr 22, 2007 11:00 pm Post subject: |
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| awj94122 wrote: |
| There are too many draws out there that can crack your AA. There is nothing wrong with folding here. But for one more bet, the call is tempting. |
that can crack it ?..its already cracked.
Im folding it........................ |
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ccheiden High Card
Joined: 25 Apr 2007 Posts: 1
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Posted: Wed Apr 25, 2007 8:43 pm Post subject: |
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| I know I'm new to the forum, and maybe i'm just blowing smoke here but he may have hit the straight on an earlier street, and the the board filled itself he just felt obligated to bet because he HAD a strong hand, It seems like this happens. |
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JaketheStake Straight Flush
Joined: 03 Nov 2005 Posts: 415
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Posted: Tue Jun 05, 2007 8:12 pm Post subject: |
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I confess, when I'm playing without much read I will bet some chop situations on the river just to see if the other guys are paying attention. It's scary how many times one folds.
If a guy calls and we chop, fine. If he calls and he has it, fine, it's almost always worth a shot.
In this hand, imo, there are just too many things out there that will bust your hand. I mean, basicly you have the board. I agree with your play staying in the hand up until then, but I think I'd fold here too. For my money, I think FourTeller is packing a flush and was forced to bet when Kick checked, for value.
Of course, since there's a thread about it, my guess is you folded and these two chopped!  |
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Tiera Starr Message Board Junkie
Joined: 01 Mar 2006 Posts: 1933
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Posted: Tue Jun 05, 2007 11:07 pm Post subject: Re: Can we confidently give up on 11-1? |
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| fire_eyes_2k wrote: |
| Too homicidal to convert the hand to the pretty card pictures. |
Yay, means I can read it for a change. |
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deadmoney314 Message Board Junkie
Joined: 16 Jul 2005 Posts: 3228 Location: grunching through reply posts
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Posted: Fri Jun 08, 2007 9:43 am Post subject: |
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bump from the past tierra Here's a homicidal hand
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bigwheell Royal Flush
Joined: 27 Apr 2006 Posts: 830 Location: North Dakota
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Posted: Sat Jun 09, 2007 9:41 pm Post subject: |
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Dump it and save 4 bucks...
I think the fella is betting his
flush...At least he played the hand that way...
It seems to me that he knows he played the hand like a draw and knows he wont get a check raise out of this... |
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PokerAA Message Board Junkie
Joined: 24 Nov 2006 Posts: 1610
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Posted: Sun Jun 24, 2007 9:00 am Post subject: |
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| pimpdup34 wrote: |
| On another note, in a pretty big tournament the other day, the board is an ace high straight with no flush draw. The pot was already huge, 4 people to the river, I go all in with the A-high straight being everyone's hand... 2 of the 4 of us folded... wow |
i have done this too. all 5 cards for the Ace high straight were on the board, i went all in, (like 4 people were in the hand) and only one guy called so we split the pot  |
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