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fire_eyes_2k
The Burn Card
Joined: 18 Jan 2006
Posts: 3469
Location: London
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 Posted: Sat Feb 10, 2007 1:23 pm Post subject: Can we confidently give up on 6.25:1? |
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Thoughts??
Villain is 25/15/2.5 Seen him call down TT on a multiway flop with 2 overcards, so possibly a calling station.
PokerStars 2/4 Hold'em (8 handed) from (Format: FlopTurnRiver Cards)
Preflop: Hero is CO with  ,  .
4 folds, Hero raises, 2 folds, BB calls.
Flop: (4.50 SB)  ,  ,  (2 players)
BB checks, Hero bets, BB calls.
Turn: (3.25 BB)  (2 players)
BB checks, Hero bets, BB calls.
River: (5.25 BB)  (2 players)
BB bets, Hero ???
Screams draw to me, and all I can beat is a 7 or a bluff. Is that worth 6.25:1? |
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mathman1115
Wizard of Odderation
Joined: 01 Sep 2005
Posts: 3085
Location: Land of the Fightin' Phillies
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| Posted: Sat Feb 10, 2007 2:36 pm Post subject: |
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Easy fold here. He is not attempting a check raise on the river because it is a scary board, so he is value betting the str8 he just hit.
And let's not forget, you only have 2nd pair here.
If he is bluffing, then its a good bluff, but i think i save a big bet here. |
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mathman1115
Wizard of Odderation
Joined: 01 Sep 2005
Posts: 3085
Location: Land of the Fightin' Phillies
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| Posted: Sat Feb 10, 2007 2:37 pm Post subject: |
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sorry for the double post there....
And i meant 3rd pair
Last edited by mathman1115 on Sat Feb 10, 2007 10:47 pm; edited 1 time in total |
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IABoomer
Moderator
Joined: 29 Oct 2006
Posts: 4398
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| Posted: Sat Feb 10, 2007 3:20 pm Post subject: |
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| Certainly some kind of 8 from the blind, probably suited. He flopped the OESD and check-called until it hit. No way is 3rd pair good here. Easy fold. |
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deadmoney314
Message Board Junkie
Joined: 16 Jul 2005
Posts: 3228
Location: grunching through reply posts
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| Posted: Mon Feb 12, 2007 4:18 pm Post subject: Re: Can we confidently give up on 6.25:1? |
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| fire_eyes_2k wrote: |
Thoughts??
Villain is 25/15/2.5 Seen him call down TT on a multiway flop with 2 overcards, so possibly a calling station. I would be hesistant to call this guy a calling station--2.5 AF is uberaggressive and more likely to bet and fold than ever call.
Screams draw to me, and all I can beat is a 7 or a bluff. Is that worth 6.25:1?
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I'm not sure what you mean by screams draw unless you mean screams draw that hit. 6.25 to 1 is harder to give up than what has been suggested in this thread but i'd be confident in doing specifically in this scenario. However, if you have a detailed history of villain having strange river patterns, excessive river aggressiveness, or overall general trickiness then call here. You have to basically be ~86% certain you are beat to make this laydown. |
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