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Online Poker Forum - Going passive w/big slick? Wtf DM?
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deadmoney314
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PostPosted: Mon Jan 22, 2007 7:32 pm    Post subject: Going passive w/big slick? Wtf DM? Reply with quote

Villain is 26/20/2.3

Full Tilt Poker
Limit Holdem Ring game
Limit: $1/$2
5 players

Pre-flop: (5 players) Hero is Button with ac kd
UTG raises, CO folds, Hero calls, 2 folds.

Flop: 3s ts 8h (5.5SB, 2 players)
UTG bets, Hero calls.

Turn: 8c (3.75BB, 2 players)
UTG bets, Hero calls.

River: ah (5.75BB, 2 players)
UTG bets, Hero raises, UTG folds.
Uncalled bets: 1BB returned to Hero.

Results:
Final pot: 7.75BB

Normally I advocate raising big slick here 100% preflop, for some reason I cold call. How bad is this even though the results were happy? Is this bad? What did villain fold here? Comments welcome.
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fire_eyes_2k
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PostPosted: Mon Jan 22, 2007 7:58 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

This is more of a general rambling about the hand, I don't know where I'm going with it (probably nowhere) and a conclusion is unlikely:

OK, am I right in assuming your figures are VPIP/PFR/AF here? And is your AF post flop or all inclusive?

20% PFR really jumps out at me as a bit too lag here. Maybe not 9 handed, but my next question revolves around your stats and whether the af is postflop only. If it's all inclusive then a af of 2.3 with a 20% pfr just screams bad postflop play and I like the idea of a smooth call for an attempted trap, particularly as you have position.

But IMO, smooth calling with AK is something best done when you're fairly sure your opponent has a weaker but still strong ace. I expect it's harder in 6max as ranges are much wider, but in full games I can spot AJ a mile off. So if you suspect he may have an Ace, I like it.

But back onto the actual hand. I would have raised the flop here almost certainly. As it is, I have no idea where I am in the hand, and I want to find out. Villain obviously has a wide range for preflop raising, so I want to try and get a little extra about what he might have.

In short, I think your smooth call preflop is an acceptable variation play, but the lack of information it creates must be made up elsewhere.

As for what he had, I would go with KQ or KJ
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deadmoney314
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PostPosted: Mon Jan 22, 2007 8:34 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

I always post stats vp$ip/pfr/AF (post flop)
The variation just jumped out at me at the time. Afterward my guess was a KX maybe even suited or the standard PP. 20% pfr is loose, but not excessively in my experience and I usually don't see out of the line UTG raises from this player or players with similar stats.
I like the flop raise idea except that it prevents weaker aces or hands like KX from continuing to bet my hand for me and I was thinking, if I'm ahead I'm way ahead, if I'm behind I'm putting in the minimum.
If you raise on the flop and get called, what is your line for the turn whether villain donks or not?
What if villain 3bets flop, do you fold turn UI?
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bigwheell
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PostPosted: Tue Jan 23, 2007 7:39 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

I can't see not raising preflop here, you are letting the blinds in too cheap(how many times have you lost to a 10-8 when the BB is getting 5.5/1). I like calling in this situation from the blinds, but not from the button. Many times you have his holdings dominated and you can play the hand out exactly as you did and raise the river with your AK holding up on a board like that.

With the Villians PFR% at 20, the person raises just about everytime he enters the pot, so I would expect him to raise with any two when he comes into a pot, that 6% difference could be from Checking the big blind or completing from the small blind.

I think you ran into one of those players who will bluff on every street trying to push you off a hand. I think that is the only way he could fold that river with your raise back at him. The pot is too big not to call off one more bet if you have even a bottom pair.

Here is another scenario...New player(former NL player), he a bit over aggressive, and not used to 6 max limit play where you cannot push a player off a hand with a 1BB bluff.

After the preflop call, I would have probably played it as you did. I would definatly raise with that river A.

How do you play a maniac? Bet less often and call more often(I do not know who to credit that saying to). There was a good chance you had the best hand and if you didn't have the best hand, you more than likely had outs to the best hand.

Minus the preflop call, I think you played it alright.
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xxlurchxx
High Card


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PostPosted: Fri Feb 02, 2007 12:02 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

if you have been playing at this table for a while and know who plays what I don't see a problem mixing it up here and just calling a raise with the AK. You can't become too predictable and this is the first thing that comes out with all the tracking software thats around. I'm guessing KQ for his hand as that would be worth a raise 5 handed, and explain his folding to the river A.
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deadmoney314
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PostPosted: Fri Feb 02, 2007 10:34 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

xxlurchxx wrote:
I'm guessing KQ for his hand as that would be worth a raise 5 handed, and explain his folding to the river A.

I like the thought and that was on the top of my list. I do think villain is aggro enough to 3 barrel j9, QJ, KJ in this situation--26/20/2.3 are very capable of air games that go this far.
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griffinlord
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PostPosted: Fri Feb 02, 2007 1:52 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

Somebody do me a favor....

Playing big aces as drawing hands is driving me crazy.

Let's try and specify a legitimate range of hands for villian to be raising with UTG. Even 5 handed I'm pretty tight UTG and DM is likely drawing very, very thin against me in this position.

So, why are we putting villian on hands like J9 or even KJ here? Would he really play them for a raise UTG? His stats aren't all that loose for 6max and DM says that he never really gets out of line.

For that range of hands how often is DM ahead on the flop/turn?
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deadmoney314
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PostPosted: Fri Feb 02, 2007 2:41 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

griffinlord wrote:
Somebody do me a favor....

Playing big aces as drawing hands is driving me crazy.

Let's try and specify a legitimate range of hands for villian to be raising with UTG. Even 5 handed I'm pretty tight UTG and DM is likely drawing very, very thin against me in this position.

So, why are we putting villian on hands like J9 or even KJ here? Would he really play them for a raise UTG? His stats aren't all that loose for 6max and DM says that he never really gets out of line.

For that range of hands how often is DM ahead on the flop/turn?
20% pfr range is not tight and yes includes KJo and J9s because 5 handed UTG = hijack (this also means AXs will be here). I do think this was a mistake of mine as I already said not to re-raise preflop (OP) but after that mistake I think it played fine considering the aggression of the opponent. I'm calling this river UI as well.
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griffinlord
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PostPosted: Fri Feb 02, 2007 5:44 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

deadmoney314 wrote:
griffinlord wrote:
Somebody do me a favor....

Playing big aces as drawing hands is driving me crazy.

Let's try and specify a legitimate range of hands for villian to be raising with UTG. Even 5 handed I'm pretty tight UTG and DM is likely drawing very, very thin against me in this position.

So, why are we putting villian on hands like J9 or even KJ here? Would he really play them for a raise UTG? His stats aren't all that loose for 6max and DM says that he never really gets out of line.

For that range of hands how often is DM ahead on the flop/turn?
20% pfr range is not tight and yes includes KJo and J9s because 5 handed UTG = hijack (this also means AXs will be here). I do think this was a mistake of mine as I already said not to re-raise preflop (OP) but after that mistake I think it played fine considering the aggression of the opponent. I'm calling this river UI as well.


Okay, so does villians range include all pocket pairs?

Seriously I'm not trying to diss you here, I am trying to understand what the proper assumptions and play are.

Based on an assumption of host of hands that you can beat at showdown, or by drawing, certainly it appears that you have made the correct play.

But how do we eliminate any number of hands that beat us (A8, K8, T8) from villian's range? How we do we arrive at the assumption of villian's hand holdings that we used without knowing the outcome? Is your posting of the river action biasing our opinions? Given villian's fold it is obvious he didn't have an 8 or an Ax where x pairs the board. Does this color our assessment of your play here?

And more importantly how would I make the decision to call down with AK if I find myself in a similar situation?
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Riddim
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PostPosted: Fri Feb 02, 2007 6:57 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

Griff, we don't have to eliminate the hands that beat us, they just have to consitute less than about 87% of his range when he bets the river since we're getting 6.75:1 on our money here. On the turn we're a slight favorite over a reasonable 20% PFR range, so even if we weight that quite a bit in his favor to take into consideration that he might not raise quite as many hands as that UTG and won't always fire again with hands that we beat, we should have enough equity here to call down.
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griffinlord
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PostPosted: Sat Feb 03, 2007 11:22 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

Riddim wrote:
Griff, we don't have to eliminate the hands that beat us, they just have to consitute less than about 87% of his range when he bets the river since we're getting 6.75:1 on our money here. On the turn we're a slight favorite over a reasonable 20% PFR range, so even if we weight that quite a bit in his favor to take into consideration that he might not raise quite as many hands as that UTG and won't always fire again with hands that we beat, we should have enough equity here to call down.


I understand why we are betting the river.

What I want to know is why did we see the river in the first place.

If villian has pocket 2's we are a 6.67-1 dog to make it on the turn but call a 6-1 pot on the flop. Maybe implied odds are enough to peel one here, so okay.

But on the turn we are getting less than 5-1 as a 6.67 - 1 dog to pocket duces and less than 6-1 in implied odds.

What range of hands do we put villian on pre-flop that allows us to be sufficiently confident to play the flop and turn with ace high?

When the ace shows on the river we probably beat 87% of his range and only need to beat him about 20% of the time to make calling correct and clearly raising the river makes sense.

But again, why were we at the river in the first place? We missed the flop and the turn. The only hands we are beating on the turn are unpaired hands of one sort or another. Just because villian is aggressive doesn't mean we can confidently put him on no pair on the turn given how the hand plays out. He plays pocket tens exactly the same way.
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deadmoney314
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PostPosted: Sat Feb 03, 2007 1:22 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

Griff, assuming this player probably knows 6max baby steps and this basic strategy which gets you to ~15%pfr:
http://forumserver.twoplustwo.com/showflat.php?Cat=&Board=headsup&Number=1897985&fpart=1&PHPSESSID=

His range will be a little looser ~5% than AA-44/aks-a8s/probably a7s-a2s/ak-a9o/kqs-k9s/kq/kj/qjs/qts/jts Remember I said looser

We are a favorite here with AKo and I should have raised preflop for value it was a mistake but in real time I had to move on with the hand. The strength of this hand postflop was good enough for me to call but not raise UI which is something I don't mind against players with AF so high. Why scare an opponent from betting your hand for you when you will be good more often than not?
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griffinlord
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PostPosted: Sat Feb 03, 2007 3:24 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

deadmoney314 wrote:
Griff, assuming this player probably knows 6max baby steps and this basic strategy which gets you to ~15%pfr:
http://forumserver.twoplustwo.com/showflat.php?Cat=&Board=headsup&Number=1897985&fpart=1&PHPSESSID=

His range will be a little looser ~5% than AA-44/aks-a8s/probably a7s-a2s/ak-a9o/kqs-k9s/kq/kj/qjs/qts/jts Remember I said looser

We are a favorite here with AKo and I should have raised preflop for value it was a mistake but in real time I had to move on with the hand. The strength of this hand postflop was good enough for me to call but not raise UI which is something I don't mind against players with AF so high. Why scare an opponent from betting your hand for you when you will be good more often than not?


Now we are making a bit of progress.

Now that we have a range of hands, how many are we ahead of, how many are we behind?

Yes, I could figure it out myself, but I am having trouble with hands like this post-flop and need someone to walk me through it with baby steps. No matter what I do it seems to be wrong. I tried calling down several times today and end up seeing that my opp has K3o and paired their 3 while I missed entirely.

Granted these are somewhat looser than you are probably up (.25/.5 tables) against but I am well rational on trying to figure it out. Most of the time I just lay down post-flop if I miss.
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deadmoney314
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PostPosted: Sat Feb 03, 2007 4:50 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

If someone wants to count the combos i think its 5 for every pocket pair (unless one of the cards is on the board) and 16 for any unpaired hand but you will have to keep my hole cards and the board in mind. I'm still fairly certain that not only are we ahead more often than not but even if we aren't we have odds to improve to make up for any shortcommings. Also, you may have noticed I took the range from vanilla hijack raising standards instead of UTG because it is 5 handed.

It is extremely frustrating for people to be value/donk betting bottom pairs like 3s into your pfr'es postflop but this is where situational reads come in. If you feel this is an area where you have room to improve, go back to 1 or 2 tables, it is hard to improve in this area 3-4 tabling. Also learn the WA/WB line if you are frequently on aggressive or maniac type tables where you are often in marginal situations OOP.

Actually get lost in these threads for a good week, they explain this stuff better than I ever will:
http://forumserver.twoplustwo.com/showflat.php?Cat=0&Board=micro&Number=2913856&fpart=1&PHPSESSID=
http://forumserver.twoplustwo.com/showflat.php?Cat=0&Number=8857864&an=0&page=0#Post8857864
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griffinlord
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PostPosted: Sun Feb 04, 2007 4:15 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

deadmoney314 wrote:
If someone wants to count the combos i think its 5 for every pocket pair (unless one of the cards is on the board) and 16 for any unpaired hand but you will have to keep my hole cards and the board in mind.


6-ways for a pocket pair with no cards accounted for.
3-ways for a pocket pair with 1 card accounted for.
1 way for a pocket pair with one pair accounted for.

Unpaired hand are 16, unless you need to seperate suited/unsuited then you get 4 and 12 respectively.

With one card of an unpaired hand accounted for there are 12.

with one of each accounted for (eg, AK) there are 9 remaining possiblities for AK. If two aces are accounted for there are 8 AK possibilities.

The simple fact is that I can count it out myself, but I am well past rational when it comes to playing AK when I miss the flop. I really, really want some hand holding.

It would be extremely helpful if someone could talk me through this particular hand in little baby steps. Even better if they can tell me how the play would change against a 35/30 or 60/20 player.

Not that I don't appreciate DM's links, but I've read a significant fraction of them already and am at the point where I need to start looking at individual hands in some detail. This particular hand is perfect because to me it looks awful, but others are saying DM played it just right. (Maybe I'm too used to games that are substaintially looser than DM is playing--.25/.5 6-max games are typically around 50% - 60% seeing the flop, although they occassionally drop into the mid-30% range. How do the 1/2 games compare?)

I know that DM doesn't do "teacher mode" well, at least not on the forums. Is there someone who can slip into teacher mode and step me through this hand in excruciating detail?

If not, I'll do it myself.
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