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HuJwang
Forum Blight
Joined: 20 Aug 2006
Posts: 5343
Location: Halifax, NS
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 Posted: Tue May 20, 2008 3:54 am Post subject: 100NL - top 2 on river, value raise? |
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Villain is 15/11/2.9 over a couple hundred hands. I'm running like 25/20 or something. Don't remember any big pots he has played. I think I'm getting the feeling that he's be starting to play back at me because he has 3-bet me a few times recently, though he didn't get to showdown with any of those hands.
Everest Poker No-Limit Hold'em, $0.50/$1 (HH Converter by Kreatief)
CO ($42.75)
BTN ($144.75) (Hero)
SB ($101.35)
BB ($74.98)
MP3 ($208.09)
Preflop: Hero is BTN with K , A
MP3 calls $1.00, 1 folds, Hero raises to $4.50, 2 folds, MP3 calls $3.50,
Flop: 5 , 3 , J ( $10.5 )
MP3 checks, Hero checks
Turn: A ( $10.5 )
MP3 checks, Hero bets $7.00, MP3 calls $7.00
River: K ( $24.5 )
MP3 bets $15.00 |
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esperz
Full House
Joined: 10 Apr 2008
Posts: 220
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| Posted: Tue May 20, 2008 5:01 am Post subject: |
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I'd raise to 37 or so. I expect a call from him and then a muck.
I don't see a Q10 here and his betting pattern isn't exactly trips. Only hand I can think of is AJ. |
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drtre1987
Message Board Junkie
Joined: 07 Nov 2006
Posts: 1762
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| Posted: Tue May 20, 2008 2:31 pm Post subject: |
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His line makes no sense. If he had a set and ck the flop, then why didn't he either lead the turn or c/r? A c/c seems really dumb there if he has a set. I'd put him on either Ax or Jx on the turn and by the river I think I put him on AJ, KJ, & AQ. The only problem I have with that range is that I don't think he is limping AQ pre very often, so we can probably throw that out. However, there are players that will limp AJ/KJ type of hands UTG at a 6max table. While your first instinct might be low pp that hit a set due to the preflop action, the postflop action is almost never a set unless he is absolutely terrible.
So yeah, raise it up there. I origanally was going to say raise it to $45ish, but I think he has two pair here way too often. I'd pot it. If he reraises, I still might call even if it seems spewy. I just can't comprehend anyone playing a set like that, but can definately see a KJ/AJ taking that line. |
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mistaken69
Message Board Junkie
Joined: 06 Sep 2005
Posts: 1505
Location: taking up smoking
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| Posted: Tue May 20, 2008 3:04 pm Post subject: |
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| raise to 49.65$ |
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