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Honest_Rob Postmaster General
Joined: 21 Jul 2005 Posts: 5661 Location: trying to get back to even
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Posted: Sun May 11, 2008 8:40 pm Post subject: HU NLHE (line check) |
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This is a hand from the forum FTOPS HU shootout. This is the final table. It's early in the match, second blind level. Villain has been pretty aggressive both preflop and postflop, regularly 3 betting and check raising. I've managed to build a nice chiplead by playing back at him a couple times and by flopping a couple of good hands that he paid off. He had limped on the button several times at this point. The only limped hand that I remember seeing was 2h 6h. Thoughts on this hand?
Full Tilt Poker, NL Hold'em Tournament, 50/100 Blinds, 2 Players
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SB: 8,191
Hero (BB): 15,809
Pre-Flop: (150) A 7 dealt to Hero (BB)
SB calls 50, Hero checks
Flop: (200) 2 3 A (2 Players)
Hero bets 200, SB raises to 700, Hero calls 500
Turn: (1,600) 5 (2 Players)
Hero checks, SB bets 900, Hero calls 900
River: (3,400) 8 (2 Players)
Hero checks, SB bets 2,800, Hero calls 2,800 |
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StevieWard Message Board Junkie
Joined: 12 Jul 2007 Posts: 1412
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Posted: Mon May 12, 2008 7:57 am Post subject: |
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| I'd prob just fold....he could easily have a 4, a 2 pair like A8 or an Ace with higher kicker. |
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drtre1987 Message Board Junkie
Joined: 07 Nov 2006 Posts: 1919
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Posted: Mon May 12, 2008 12:01 pm Post subject: |
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First, who is it? If its a forum event, then who it is matters since most of us know a little bit about each other.
On the flop, I would prefer ck/c as opposed to betting. When most people limp, I think that they intend on stealing when you check. So betting gets no value out of their air hands. Also, what are trying to get called by when you bet? A pair of 2 or 3's would likely just give up or only call one bet. There are really no big draws to worry about, except inside straight draws. The only hands you can get value from are A4-A6.
Since there are so few hands you can get value from by betting, I'd prefer ck/c and making money from when he bluffs or when he bets out 2x/3x. I'd say that most opponents will bluff at some point in the hand if you just check. Also, when you bet out, you are basically not going to be comfortable getting it in and sometimes not comfortable with betting on multiple streets against his calling range, so its better to just not even bet out there. Its kind of a pot control play, which is more important since its a tournament format, but it is also more of a value play against his ranges.
Also, how have you been playing in pots like this? When he limps, do you bet out only when you hit or do you bluff? I think this is pretty important too. If there's not much history, I'd fold the flop as played. He could be bluffing, but if you are wrong, you are getting terrible reverse implied odds and could lose a signicifant portion of your stack. |
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Honest_Rob Postmaster General
Joined: 21 Jul 2005 Posts: 5661 Location: trying to get back to even
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Posted: Mon May 12, 2008 12:47 pm Post subject: |
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He's an unknown.
He's been regularly raising the flop so I'm not too worried about his raise. I just led because he'd shown a pretty big reluctance to give up on hands cheaply and I thought I had a good chance of a call or raise even with nothing.
His impression of me would be that I was playing pretty solid and not bluffing too much. Of the few hands we showed down where there was betting I had at least something. It was still early in the match. This is probably about hand 20. He has been really aggressive so far so I'm really confident my A is good on the flop because he had already raised the flop several times and at least one of them was a bluff. |
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Riddim Moderator
Joined: 04 Dec 2005 Posts: 7312 Location: Quitting smoking
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Posted: Mon May 12, 2008 12:58 pm Post subject: |
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| I think this is almost always a nuts/air type spot where he either has the straight or a worse hand, so I don't feel like you need to worry about two pair and stuff all that much. Given your read it seems like he's bluffing a bit too much so it's probably a call. |
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drtre1987 Message Board Junkie
Joined: 07 Nov 2006 Posts: 1919
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Posted: Mon May 12, 2008 1:01 pm Post subject: |
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| Well, if you read is that your A is almost always good here, then you have to go with your read. |
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Honest_Rob Postmaster General
Joined: 21 Jul 2005 Posts: 5661 Location: trying to get back to even
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Posted: Mon May 12, 2008 1:24 pm Post subject: |
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| So given that is calling down all streets also correct or do we ever get to a point on this board where we might consider folding? |
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Riddim Moderator
Joined: 04 Dec 2005 Posts: 7312 Location: Quitting smoking
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Posted: Mon May 12, 2008 1:38 pm Post subject: |
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| Honest_Rob wrote: |
| So given that is calling down all streets also correct or do we ever get to a point on this board where we might consider folding? |
Well in most cases ranges change significantly from street to street so thinking you're a head a ton on the flop definitely doesn't mean that you have to call down all the way on any board. In this case though, you basically only beat his bluffs from the start and the board develops in a way that makes villain fairly likely to continue all the way with those bluffs. This means that his range probably doesn't change all that much except that some better hands would check back the turn or river and he'd give up on a bluff sometimes on one of those streets as well. |
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Honest_Rob Postmaster General
Joined: 21 Jul 2005 Posts: 5661 Location: trying to get back to even
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Posted: Mon May 12, 2008 1:40 pm Post subject: |
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FWIW He had 84o and I lost.  |
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Riddim Moderator
Joined: 04 Dec 2005 Posts: 7312 Location: Quitting smoking
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Posted: Mon May 12, 2008 1:52 pm Post subject: |
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| Honest_Rob wrote: |
FWIW He had 84o and I lost.  |
Not surprising at all. I think the small turn bet followed by the big river bet is usually either first taking a small stab and then realizing that you don't have a 4 once you call or first betting small to sucker you in and then betting big hoping to get called again. Given what you've said about the villain there's a good chance it's the former more than the 31ish percent of the time it needs to be to justify a call though. |
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byamamoto1 Bay Area Bidness
Joined: 11 Aug 2005 Posts: 2180
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Posted: Mon May 12, 2008 3:57 pm Post subject: |
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| is there any room for a possible 3bet on the flop? just wondering since most were saying that his A was good, then likely he had the best hand from the beginning. i'm trying not to be results oriented, but even knowing the outcome, isn't the villains range saying he either has the nuts or air, by limping then raising on the flop based on Rob's read? |
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Honest_Rob Postmaster General
Joined: 21 Jul 2005 Posts: 5661 Location: trying to get back to even
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Posted: Mon May 12, 2008 4:41 pm Post subject: |
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| byamamoto1 wrote: |
| is there any room for a possible 3bet on the flop? just wondering since most were saying that his A was good, then likely he had the best hand from the beginning. i'm trying not to be results oriented, but even knowing the outcome, isn't the villains range saying he either has the nuts or air, by limping then raising on the flop based on Rob's read? |
Well I think 3 betting wouldn't be the best play because if he does have 2 pair+ then he's going nowhere and I'm putting more money in while behind. If he is bluffing then I'll get more value out of the hand by just calling and continuing to let him bluff. The flop isn't really that drawy so if I am ahead he's likely drawing pretty slim so there's less chance he'll call a raise on a draw(because there just aren't any good draws) and less of a need for me to protect my hand against draws. I think anyway. |
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kazor Royal Flush
Joined: 04 Feb 2007 Posts: 565
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Posted: Mon May 12, 2008 4:50 pm Post subject: |
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| It sounds like you put him on a weak hand when he limps, and he raises light. When he makes it 700 there, if you think your good, id put in a big reraise. Only hand I would think he might have to have you beat is 2 3 based upon your info. You cant worry about it, my opinion, big reraise. |
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HuJwang Forum Blight
Joined: 20 Aug 2006 Posts: 5861 Location: Halifax, NS
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Posted: Mon May 12, 2008 5:07 pm Post subject: |
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| 3-betting this flop would be very bad. You'd be completely turning your hand into a bluff. The villain can't really have more than 4-5 outs except if he has some weird pair+gutshot hand, and even then it's not exactly a monster draw. Calling and re-evaluating the turn is definitely the best play here vs. an aggressive villain. |
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kazor Royal Flush
Joined: 04 Feb 2007 Posts: 565
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Posted: Mon May 12, 2008 6:35 pm Post subject: |
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| HuJwang wrote: |
| 3-betting this flop would be very bad. You'd be completely turning your hand into a bluff. The villain can't really have more than 4-5 outs except if he has some weird pair+gutshot hand, and even then it's not exactly a monster draw. Calling and re-evaluating the turn is definitely the best play here vs. an aggressive villain. |
I disagree but its not a bad option although youd have to be willing to either fold if a scare card hits or call the whole way down and letting him possibly catch up. As someone who can play very aggresively, one thing your passive play does is give someone on a draw a free card on the turn because if you just smooth call the raise on the flop its not likely your going to lead out again on the turn. |
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