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idonkeykickyou
High Card
Joined: 21 Aug 2005
Posts: 10
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 Posted: Wed Sep 07, 2005 2:52 am Post subject: Percentage of Placing 1st, 2nd, 3rd, etc. |
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I'm pretty sure I'm going through a very rough run of variance right now, and have a graph of my finishes over roughly 100 sitngos. I'm trying to figure what a normal/average spread of finishes is for a winning player over a real period say 1000 games but anything over 500 is fine. If anyone has anything on this let me know.
- Donkey |
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berlin32
Two Pair
Joined: 13 Jul 2005
Posts: 74
Location: Cincinnati
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| Posted: Wed Sep 07, 2005 10:33 am Post subject: |
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Hey Donkey. 100 SNGs is not enough to be statistically significant. You need about 300 at a given level. Focus on achieving an ITM number greater than 40% and an ROI between 20-30% before moving up.
If you are playing "perfect poker" which most people are not, you will have variance that could cause you to go OTM in as many as 10-15 SNGs. This is not likely, but it is possible.
Good luck. |
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UrbanMeyer1
Royal Flush
Joined: 25 Jun 2005
Posts: 720
Location: Gainesville, FL (The Swamp)
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| Posted: Wed Sep 07, 2005 6:10 pm Post subject: |
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You need at least 1000 to be semi-accurate, definately not 300.
No body on here has any numbers you're looking for except me most likely.
633 SNGs played
(includes 5.50s, 10+1s, 20+2s, 30+3s on FTP & 27+2 Stars Turbos)
ROI 21.0%
ITM 45.5%
1st 14.2% 90
2nd 15.3% 97
3rd 16.0% 101
4th 14.5% 92
5th 14.8% 94
6th 12.2% 77
7th 5.8% 37
8th 3.5% 22
9th 3.6% 23 |
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yankhater24
Pair
Joined: 04 Oct 2005
Posts: 34
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| Posted: Sat Nov 12, 2005 12:05 pm Post subject: |
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| I have to say those are some pretty good numbers. Keep up the good work, hopefully I will be up there with you soon. |
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TiltMaster84
Two Pair
Joined: 14 Nov 2005
Posts: 57
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| Posted: Wed Nov 16, 2005 8:40 pm Post subject: |
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| I just want to know how you guys make good spreadsheets? I am not great at excel so i unfortunately don't know how to make good spreadsheets that are easy to do. Anyone have any help to give? |
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gigadebt
Pair
Joined: 12 Aug 2005
Posts: 29
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| Posted: Thu Nov 17, 2005 2:01 pm Post subject: Re: |
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| UrbanMeyer1 wrote: |
You need at least 1000 to be semi-accurate, definately not 300.
No body on here has any numbers you're looking for except me most likely.
633 SNGs played
(includes 5.50s, 10+1s, 20+2s, 30+3s on FTP & 27+2 Stars Turbos)
ROI 21.0%
ITM 45.5%
1st 14.2% 90
2nd 15.3% 97
3rd 16.0% 101
4th 14.5% 92
5th 14.8% 94
6th 12.2% 77
7th 5.8% 37
8th 3.5% 22
9th 3.6% 23 |
its hard to decipher too much from those numbers b/c I have no idea how you play but it seems like you could be a little more aggressive late and get that 1st % a little higher. Your itm % will drop but your roi% should definitely go up. |
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UrbanMeyer1
Royal Flush
Joined: 25 Jun 2005
Posts: 720
Location: Gainesville, FL (The Swamp)
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| Posted: Thu Dec 01, 2005 2:35 am Post subject: Re: |
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| TiltMaster84 wrote: |
| I just want to know how you guys make good spreadsheets? I am not great at excel so i unfortunately don't know how to make good spreadsheets that are easy to do. Anyone have any help to give? |
Come Find me to get a SNG one if you please. |
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