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NilesMonkey Message Board Junkie
Joined: 13 Dec 2007 Posts: 1148 Location: Schenectady, NY
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Posted: Wed Aug 12, 2009 3:33 am Post subject: Monster Flop vs. PF Raiser - Best Value Line? |
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Micro-stakes SnG, as always. Table was extremely loose-passive, hence the limp. PF raiser was min-raising quite a lot, usually with decent holdings. Seat 7 doubled up on second hand flopping two pair w/junk; has shown a tendency to play less than stellar cards.
I was on the fence about calling the PF raise, but I went with it mainly because of the implied odds of being in the hand with a moron and a person who likes their hand enough to break away from their min-raise leash. Plus, I am perfectly comfortable with a stack of 2500, so this isn't too much of a risk for me.
Blinds 50/100
Seat 1 - 2,464
Seat 2 (dealer)- 1,262
Seat 3 (SB) - 2,100
Seat 5 (BB) - 2,111
Seat 6 - 818
Seat 7 - 3,157
Seat 10 (Hero) - 3,088
Dealt to Hero - 8 8
Seat 6 folds
Seat 7 calls 100
Hero calls 100
Seat 1 raises to 500
Seat 2 -> Seat 5 fold
Seat 7 calls 400
Hero calls 400
Flop: 8 J J
Seat 7 bets 100
Hero ???
Do I just call, and try to entice the PF raiser to put in a raise? Or is slow playing FPS here? |
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Rhys Parslow Taking a Timeout
Joined: 26 Jun 2009 Posts: 1479 Location: Consumed by a Bubble
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Posted: Wed Aug 12, 2009 10:48 am Post subject: |
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| i wouldnt slow play because there is obviously the chance he has a jack and could hit a higher full house if you let him see turn and river you may aswell come over the top and either take his raise or let him call with a jack and win the flip that u are dominating |
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Aelfinn Four of a Kind
Joined: 16 Sep 2008 Posts: 313 Location: South Dakota
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Posted: Wed Aug 12, 2009 11:30 am Post subject: |
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| Rhys Parslow wrote: |
| i wouldnt slow play because there is obviously the chance he has a jack and could hit a higher full house if you let him see turn and river you may aswell come over the top and either take his raise or let him call with a jack and win the flip that u are dominating |
If he has a jack he is not folding if we raise anyway so the odds of him seeing the turn and the river are very high no matter how we play it if we are indeed up against trip jacks.
It all depends on your reads at this point. Has seat 1 raised in similar situations before? Has seat 7 folded in the past when raised on the flop after min betting? This is the type of info needed in order to make the correct play.
I don't usually like to slow play, but depending on the players you are up against it can be a good play on occasion. |
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CitizenCain Three Pair
Joined: 23 Oct 2006 Posts: 2474 Location: Behind a huge stack of chips.
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Posted: Wed Aug 12, 2009 12:05 pm Post subject: Re: Monster Flop vs. PF Raiser - Best Value Line? |
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| NilesMonkey wrote: |
| Do I just call, and try to entice the PF raiser to put in a raise? Or is slow playing FPS here? |
You're probably not going to get much value out of it regardless of what you do, unless the donk makes his hand.
That min bet usually means he either has a J (in which case you'll be able to get it all in no matter what), or he has a flush or straight draw. (Of course, he could have an A, or total air, or anything else too, but my recent DD playing has showed that the draw or the monster seem to be the most likely reasons low limit donks min bet. )
I think him having a draw seems like a reasonable chance, so I'd try to call and hope he makes his draw, at which point he'll make a real bet, and we can shove and get paid off.
If he already has a big piece (J, overpair), all the money's getting in at some point anyway, so what we do doesn't really matter, in that sense. |
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ThePhoenix78 Royal Flush
Joined: 19 Jan 2007 Posts: 956 Location: Canada
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Posted: Wed Aug 12, 2009 3:34 pm Post subject: |
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| I like just calling here. Let somebody hit the straight or flush, in case the draws are out there or let somebody think their overpair is good. Ok, as someone said, you're giving somebody with trip Js a chance to outdraw you, but they only have 4 outs, so I think it's worth it to slow play to entice the PFR to continue his aggresson postflop by maybe sticking in a raise after the other guy and you have appeared weak. |
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PokerJessO Royal Flush
Joined: 28 Jun 2007 Posts: 612
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Posted: Wed Aug 12, 2009 9:26 pm Post subject: |
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| The flop min-bet from EP = flush draw extremely often, especially at low levels. I would definitely just call here and hope either he hits his flush on the turn, or the original raiser raises the flop. |
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NilesMonkey Message Board Junkie
Joined: 13 Dec 2007 Posts: 1148 Location: Schenectady, NY
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Posted: Thu Aug 13, 2009 4:39 am Post subject: |
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| Rhys Parslow wrote: |
| i wouldnt slow play because there is obviously the chance he has a jack and could hit a higher full house if you let him see turn and river you may aswell come over the top and either take his raise or let him call with a jack and win the flip that u are dominating |
Let me make this clear: I am not concerned about losing this hand. If that should happen, I call it a cooler and move on. I'm concerned about getting full value here. Honestly, I feel that if I can't confidently play this hand for value instead of simply looking to win the hand, I shouldn't be playing poker.
| ThePhoenix78 wrote: |
| I like just calling here. Let somebody hit the straight or flush, in case the draws are out there or let somebody think their overpair is good. Ok, as someone said, you're giving somebody with trip Js a chance to outdraw you, but they only have 4 outs, so I think it's worth it to slow play to entice the PFR to continue his aggresson postflop by maybe sticking in a raise after the other guy and you have appeared weak. |
I went with this approach. Normally I would just raise, but I can represent a draw on this flop (either straight or flush). Also, if someone should have one of those draws, I want them to make it since those draws cannot beat me.
I smooth called, expecting the PF raiser to raise or perhaps even shove.
Neither happened.
Flop: 8 J J
Seat 7 bets 100
Hero calls 100
Seat 1 folds.
Turn: 10
Seat 7 checks
Hero ??? |
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CitizenCain Three Pair
Joined: 23 Oct 2006 Posts: 2474 Location: Behind a huge stack of chips.
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Posted: Thu Aug 13, 2009 7:32 pm Post subject: |
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Check, expect donk to bet river and call off stack to reraise.
If you don't like waiting 'til the river, you could always bet out ~500, and expect to be raised. |
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NilesMonkey Message Board Junkie
Joined: 13 Dec 2007 Posts: 1148 Location: Schenectady, NY
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Posted: Sat Aug 15, 2009 4:24 am Post subject: |
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I was concerned that Seat 7 would try to check it down after the action killer on the turn, so I decided to put a small bet out of 250. He called, and then proceeded to min-bet a blank river card. I raised to 750, which he called and showed KJ offsuit.
I wanted to check my flop and turn plays, mainly because I was afraid that I lost value here. I started some results oriented thinking, saying to myself "I should have just shoved, he would have insta-called with his trip jacks! The 10d scared him off!"
But I think slow playing works better here because I get more value if:
a) he doesn't have a jack and bluffs
b) he has a draw and makes it
c) he has a jack and overplays it
I'm still not sure if Seat 7 was playing cautious due to the board texture, or simply playing stupid-passive. Ended up winning this SnG anyway, but I just wanted to run it through the wringer. |
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iuz the old Three of a Kind
Joined: 02 Sep 2005 Posts: 88 Location: chicago
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Posted: Sat Aug 15, 2009 5:47 pm Post subject: |
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| I call here as most of the time your opponents don't have much. A flush draw is drawing dead and an overpair (from the pfr.) will only have 2 outs and may commit himself with a raise on this flop. If he sees a bet and a raise he should conclude that there is a Jack out there and get away fom his hand. A bet and a call may make him suspicious but he may reason that he is up against a smaller PP and a flush draw in which case he will at least call but may raise. He may also call with overs which hopefully he will hit. |
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