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doyle11 Full House
Joined: 29 Jul 2005 Posts: 198
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Posted: Thu Nov 19, 2009 1:39 am Post subject: 6 5 call allin in bb? |
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Full Tilt Poker $6 + $0.50 KO No Limit Hold'em Tournament - t200/t400 Blinds + t50 - 8 players -
The Official Hand History
BTN: t4035 M = 4.04
SB: t7293 M = 7.29
Hero (BB): t3105 M = 3.10
UTG: t8590 M = 8.59
UTG+1: t18125 M = 18.12
MP1: t3410 M = 3.41
MP2: t3135 M = 3.13
CO: t7960 M = 7.96
Pre Flop: (t1000) Hero is BB with 6 5
2 folds, MP1 raises to t3360 all in, 4 folds, Hero calls t2655 all in
i felt like i was live against 2 overcards..is it still right to call based on that fact in this spot? |
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lurgertor Royal Flush
Joined: 04 Jun 2008 Posts: 772 Location: Riskville
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Posted: Thu Nov 19, 2009 1:49 am Post subject: |
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| I think mathematically you're getting the right price, so its up to you. |
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goomlah Message Board Junkie
Joined: 08 Sep 2005 Posts: 1298 Location: Chicago
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Posted: Thu Nov 19, 2009 11:56 am Post subject: |
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| TECHNICALLY you are getting the right price, but only if he doesn't have 55 or better. 1000 in the blinds and antes he raises 2255 more. So 2255 to win 3255. that's 1.44/1. Personally I can wait for a better spot then this. |
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TinkyTyler Message Board Junkie
Joined: 15 Jun 2008 Posts: 1982 Location: Toronto
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Posted: Thu Nov 19, 2009 11:58 am Post subject: |
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| Maybe ure getting the right price against overcards but he can easily have a pair too... Sure your M is 3, but Im definitely waiting for a better spot with either a better hand, or when you can open shove and steal some blinds. |
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deadmeat82 Message Board Junkie
Joined: 04 Mar 2008 Posts: 1217 Location: rakeback 4 all
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Posted: Thu Nov 19, 2009 12:00 pm Post subject: |
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| goomlah wrote: |
| TECHNICALLY you are getting the right price, but only if he doesn't have 55 or better. 1000 in the blinds and antes he raises 2255 more. So 2255 to win 3255. that's 1.44/1. Personally I can wait for a better spot then this. |
I feel this way too, the price is about right but you're soon to be out of the blinds and youre bound to find a better spot than this within the next rotation. I think I hold off. |
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francois8 Message Board Junkie
Joined: 10 Jun 2008 Posts: 3937 Location: getting bent over the bubble
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Posted: Fri Nov 20, 2009 11:52 am Post subject: |
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TBH, I'd prefer open shoving whatever you had the hand before UTG or the hand before that UTG+1... if you're the first one into the pot, there's always a chance that everyone else will fold to you... and if they call, the math is the same as it is here.
Basically I'd rather shove first with my eyes closed then CALL all in with 6 high offsuit. |
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THEPOKERCAT200 Banned
Joined: 19 Nov 2009 Posts: 198
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Posted: Fri Nov 20, 2009 12:07 pm Post subject: |
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| Yeah the "call any shove with 2-1 odds" rule doesnt apply when you're short stacked and losing the hand will cripple you. Just fold this and open shove ATC at the next opportunity. |
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HuJwang Forum Blight
Joined: 20 Aug 2006 Posts: 9207 Location: Halifax, NS
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Posted: Fri Nov 20, 2009 2:21 pm Post subject: |
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i might be missing something here but by my calculations you're calling 2655 to win 4055 or about 1.52:1. you need about 39.6% equity against his range. you aren't getting the right price against overcards at all, and you're doing horrible against a range that includes pairs.
even if he's shoving 90% of hands here you aren't getting the right price to call. |
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goomlah Message Board Junkie
Joined: 08 Sep 2005 Posts: 1298 Location: Chicago
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Posted: Fri Nov 20, 2009 2:49 pm Post subject: |
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| Hero has less then villain. I put that into account when I did the calculations hujwang. But the math is irrelevant, you can find a better spot. |
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StrikingEagle Full House
Joined: 22 Mar 2009 Posts: 244 Location: United States
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Posted: Fri Nov 20, 2009 3:09 pm Post subject: |
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| lurgertor wrote: |
| I think mathematically you're getting the right price, so its up to you. |
how do you figure this out mathematically? |
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THEPOKERCAT200 Banned
Joined: 19 Nov 2009 Posts: 198
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Posted: Fri Nov 20, 2009 4:06 pm Post subject: |
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| StrikingEagle wrote: |
| lurgertor wrote: |
| I think mathematically you're getting the right price, so its up to you. |
how do you figure this out mathematically? |
I'm lazy so I just use this: http://www.pokercalculatoronline.com/ , however pokerstove is the preferred method. |
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HuJwang Forum Blight
Joined: 20 Aug 2006 Posts: 9207 Location: Halifax, NS
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Posted: Fri Nov 20, 2009 5:30 pm Post subject: |
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| goomlah wrote: |
| Hero has less then villain. I put that into account when I did the calculations hujwang. But the math is irrelevant, you can find a better spot. |
yeah, i took that into account too. we're calling 2655 and the final pot will be 6710. that gives us a required equity of 2655/6710 = 0.396 |
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alew22 Message Board Junkie
Joined: 17 Jan 2009 Posts: 1282 Location: Beantown
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Posted: Fri Nov 20, 2009 6:47 pm Post subject: |
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| correct odds or not, i just can't see myself calling off my life with 56o with 20 ppl to go till the money....i'd be more inclined to fold this and then open-shove 72o from the button 2 hands from now..... |
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francois8 Message Board Junkie
Joined: 10 Jun 2008 Posts: 3937 Location: getting bent over the bubble
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Posted: Fri Nov 20, 2009 6:58 pm Post subject: |
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| With these stacks, someone else should shove first... That's why I'd prefer Open shoving in MP or EP before we get to BB in this situation. |
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JDizzzle72 Message Board Junkie
Joined: 01 Mar 2008 Posts: 5140
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Posted: Fri Nov 20, 2009 7:23 pm Post subject: |
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math aside, the dynamics of 90man KOs say instafold this as you still can create fold equity if you fold this hand and open shove in the next orbit.
also, i dont believe youre getting the right odds anyway. even if MP2 is shoving literally ATC (which he isn't.) you only have 39.944% equity. |
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