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mathman1115
Wizard of Odderation


Joined: 01 Sep 2005
Posts: 3551
Location: Land of the Fightin' Phillies

PostPosted: Sat May 24, 2008 4:09 pm    Post subject: can someone really run this bad? Reply with quote

Right around 38K hands, i hit rock bottom at $1/2 limit, netting about -275 BB. High pairs getting outflopped, high aces missing the flop, getting two and three outered everywhere. Ok, variance is rough, i can accept that.

So i spend the next 11K hands or so grinding just about most of it back, for a net of +225 BB.

Now i've hit the wall again, harder than you can imagine. Over the last 1400 hands (no, not 14K, 1400) i've netted -135 BB. I've had 5 consecutive sessions where i lost 20 BB or more. In all 5 sessions, my showdowns won % was below 50%. No matter what i do, how i play my hand, the cards just are not cooperating. Every donks Ace rag is outflopping my high ace or medium-high pair. My overpairs lose to sets on the flop, turn, or even river. I actually hit a set today, and lost to a higher flopped set. Can't hit any draws, and most of all it seems like my station opponents just never miss a flop.

For the last 3 sessions, i've began 4-tabling to get myself through the variance a little faster, and its just making it worse. My stats are consistent, and i don't think my play is affected by playing more tables. In fact, i think its better because i am more focused. I've already dropped down in limits once about a year ago, i don't think that is a solution. I am already playing way under my roll as it is.

Are these swings, even at this extreme, normal? What do i do??????
I am going to read up a little, go through some sample hands just to make sure i am playing +EV poker, as i am sure i am. No, i'm not playing perfectly, but at this level i shouldn't have to to turn a profit.


EDIT: I just recalled this thread started by bigslick when he started playing .25/.50 limit. It has him at about -150 BB over a 1K hand span (a few posts down from the OP), so i guess they are possible. But even still, they make you question your abilities.
http://pokerforums.fulltiltpoker.com/viewtopic.php?t=34812&highlight=swings
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mathman1115
Wizard of Odderation


Joined: 01 Sep 2005
Posts: 3551
Location: Land of the Fightin' Phillies

PostPosted: Sun May 25, 2008 3:07 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

UPDATE:

Make that 6 consecutive sessions losing 20BB or more. Net -160BB over 1700 hands. Part of me keeps thinking that maybe i'm just not playing well. It isn't bad enough i was rivered out of 10+ BB pots 5 times today by 2 and 3 outers, now they gotta go runner runner. I keep questioning my play, then I realize that my opponents are just card catching **** idiots and i just can't catch a break right now:

Full Tilt Poker Game #6559535229: Table Lakeridge (speed) - $1/$2 - Limit Hold'em - 14:45:39 ET - 2008/05/25
Seat 1: Durtschi ($53.50)
Seat 2: asmileytooa ($24.25)
Seat 3: Smettie ($57), is sitting out
Seat 4: thedookiestain ($65.50)
Seat 5: hanapa ($6)
Seat 6: Mathman1115 ($31.50)
Seat 7: IrinaS ($32.50), is sitting out
Seat 8: egasMoniz ($29.25)
Seat 9: Carlos_Leon69 ($25.50)
egasMoniz posts the small blind of $0.50
Carlos_Leon69 posts the big blind of $1
The button is in seat #6
*** HOLE CARDS ***
Dealt to Mathman1115 [Ad As]
Durtschi has 8 seconds left to act
Durtschi folds
asmileytooa folds
thedookiestain folds
hanapa folds
hanapa stands up
Mathman1115 raises to $2
egasMoniz folds
Carlos_Leon69 calls $1
*** FLOP *** [9s 4h 2s]
Ralphie77 adds $20
Carlos_Leon69 checks
Mathman1115 bets $1
Ralphie77 adds $20
Carlos_Leon69 raises to $2
Mathman1115 calls $1
*** TURN *** [9s 4h 2s] [Qd]
Carlos_Leon69 bets $2
Mathman1115 raises to $4
Carlos_Leon69 calls $2
*** RIVER *** [9s 4h 2s Qd] [Td]
Carlos_Leon69 has 8 seconds left to act
Carlos_Leon69 bets $2
Mathman1115 calls $2
*** SHOW DOWN ***
Carlos_Leon69 shows [Ts Qc] two pair, Queens and Tens
Mathman1115 mucks
Carlos_Leon69 wins the pot ($19.50) with two pair, Queens and Tens
*** SUMMARY ***
Total pot $20.50 | Rake $1
Board: [9s 4h 2s Qd Td]
Seat 1: Durtschi didn't bet (folded)
Seat 2: asmileytooa didn't bet (folded)
Seat 3: Smettie is sitting out
Seat 4: thedookiestain didn't bet (folded)
Seat 5: hanapa didn't bet (folded)
Seat 6: Mathman1115 (button) mucked [Ad As] - a pair of Aces
Seat 7: IrinaS is sitting out
Seat 8: egasMoniz (small blind) folded before the Flop
Seat 9: Carlos_Leon69 (big blind) showed [Ts Qc] and won ($19.50) with two pair, Queens and Tens

(I apologize, this thread is starting to lean toward Poker Stories instead)
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Zophar
Moderator


Joined: 26 Oct 2005
Posts: 4203
Location: blogging a bit, again

PostPosted: Sun May 25, 2008 3:25 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

It's frusterating as hell, but it happens. During the almost entire month of March I experienced a similar downswing. It can be demoralizing. The only thing I recommend now is stepping down a level and trying to play through it.
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Pete D
Pistol Pete


Joined: 28 Sep 2006
Posts: 1716
Location: California

PostPosted: Mon May 26, 2008 12:49 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

Hang in there, mathman... Zophar is right, it happens... to everyone.

I was reading about whitelime today and came across this blog entry.
http://limablanca.com/?p=6

It's nothing profound, but it was interesting to read about his thought process... sometimes it helps to know others are going through similar downswings... and although they know it's "part of the game", they still struggle with it mentally.
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mathman1115
Wizard of Odderation


Joined: 01 Sep 2005
Posts: 3551
Location: Land of the Fightin' Phillies

PostPosted: Wed May 28, 2008 5:42 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

Um, so i guess my rant is officially over.

Just had the session of a lifetime. 380 hands, net +87 BB.

I started 4-tabling to eliminate these types of swings, so much for that.
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g_420man
Forum Dawg


Joined: 13 Dec 2007
Posts: 2927
Location: Is ill and will be back soon.

PostPosted: Wed May 28, 2008 5:54 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

thats good to hear. keep up the good work
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Pete D
Pistol Pete


Joined: 28 Sep 2006
Posts: 1716
Location: California

PostPosted: Wed May 28, 2008 6:35 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

mathman1115 wrote:
Um, so i guess my rant is officially over.


Ok, my rant begins... played about 400 hands of PLO last night. Once flopped a set of queens that ran into a set of kings. Later, I flopped a set of kings with the nut flush draw, but ran into a set of aces and missed the flush.

That's poker Razz
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fire_eyes_2k
The Burn Card


Joined: 18 Jan 2006
Posts: 3649
Location: London

PostPosted: Wed May 28, 2008 6:46 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

mathman1115 wrote:
Um, so i guess my rant is officially over.

Just had the session of a lifetime. 380 hands, net +87 BB.


Pin this up above your computer, and next time you're running bad, look at it.
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BBCOACH44
Full Tilt Coach


Joined: 24 Oct 2006
Posts: 7435
Location: IN THE BATTING CAGE W/ DA ROOKIES

PostPosted: Wed May 28, 2008 6:51 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

fire_eyes_2k wrote:
mathman1115 wrote:
Um, so i guess my rant is officially over.

Just had the session of a lifetime. 380 hands, net +87 BB.


Pin this up above your computer, and next time you're running bad, look at it.


+1 You are a good player.....just play thru it and Good Luck.... Cool
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MadVillain08
High Card


Joined: 30 May 2008
Posts: 6

PostPosted: Fri May 30, 2008 1:39 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

lol fullring
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mathman1115
Wizard of Odderation


Joined: 01 Sep 2005
Posts: 3551
Location: Land of the Fightin' Phillies

PostPosted: Fri May 30, 2008 5:20 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

MadVillain08 wrote:
lol fullring


What's so funny?
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MadVillain08
High Card


Joined: 30 May 2008
Posts: 6

PostPosted: Sat May 31, 2008 2:42 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

fr is wasted time and money.
switch to shorter games. -> More fishes, more action, more money, more fun.
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Pete D
Pistol Pete


Joined: 28 Sep 2006
Posts: 1716
Location: California

PostPosted: Tue Aug 11, 2009 5:57 am    Post subject: Re: can someone really run this bad? Reply with quote

mathman1115 wrote:
Now i've hit the wall again, harder than you can imagine. Over the last 1400 hands (no, not 14K, 1400) i've netted -135 BB.


Ouch, hit the same wall tonight... 1500 hands, down 116 BB (-$232).

Not hitting sets + not getting much action when you do hit one + opponents making straights/flushes/sets like they're going out of style + trying to bluff a donk off a weak pair = recipe for disaster

I like LHE because it's a quick/easy way to work off a bonus, but it's the kind of game that makes you want to toss the computer out the window sometimes Laughing
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AllInDrawinDead
Poker Nerd


Joined: 22 Sep 2005
Posts: 1970
Location: check/raising your mother

PostPosted: Tue Aug 11, 2009 1:05 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

I had a few brutal sessions over the weekend like this. ^^^

LHE is good because you get paid on good hands, but bad because you can't protect your hand against potential draws and three outers.
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Pete D
Pistol Pete


Joined: 28 Sep 2006
Posts: 1716
Location: California

PostPosted: Tue Aug 11, 2009 3:55 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

Indeed... you have to whiff so bad on the flop to not continue to the turn, which is why you see so many runner/runners in LHE. Nature of the beast.
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