Online Poker Forum - 50 NL - Flop set Vs. nit. Flush comes on turn.

Autosuggestion

Villain is 12/6/3.5 over 88 hands. I haven't really noticed him playing any pots, so no reads other than he's nitty.

Full Tilt Poker, $0.25/$0.50 NL Hold'em Cash Game, 5 Players
-

SB: $54.80
Hero (BB): $58.50
UTG: $66.80
CO: $51.50
BTN: $192.85

Pre-Flop: 8 Club

8

dealt to Hero (BB)
3 folds, SB calls $0.25, Hero raises to $2, SB calls $1.50

Flop: ($4) 6 Heart

J

8

(2 Players)
SB bets $4, Hero raises to $11, SB calls $7

Turn: ($26) K Spade

(2 Players)
SB bets $26, Hero ...

Should I raise bigger OTF? Just shove after he pots the turn?

LitUp43 · Posted: Thu Oct 29, 2009 12:44 pm Post subject:

Yep, I think you want it all in there if you're gonna get there.

templar rage · Posted: Thu Oct 29, 2009 2:57 pm Post subject:

I'm not sure I could really fold this, even if I wanted to. I would be more apt to just shove since I would think this guy wouldn't really be donking pot on the flop and turn unless he wanted you out.

goomlah · Posted: Thu Oct 29, 2009 3:11 pm Post subject:

+1 templar. If he got there he has the nut flush, but unless it's AT or A9, I don't see how he calls pre-flop. It seems more like he has 66 for some reason. See If I'm right.

Riddim · Posted: Thu Oct 29, 2009 5:41 pm Post subject:

I'd jam and take a note regardless of what he shows up with.

adam27x · Posted: Thu Oct 29, 2009 7:37 pm Post subject:

yeah, definitely raise more OTF and I'd get it in OTT as well.

Timdef2000 · Posted: Fri Oct 30, 2009 12:30 pm Post subject:

66? only line that makes sense

Autosuggestion · Posted: Fri Oct 30, 2009 12:59 pm Post subject:

I thought for a bit then shoved and saw that villain spazzed with 99 with the 9 of spades. It certainly is an interesting line with that hand.

G Goddard · Four of a Kind Joined: 05 Aug 2009 Posts: 279

I try to avoid relying on stats, unless its over a very large sample. As you can see, given the villain's line and the results he's definitely not a nit, and folding OTT based on HUD stats would have been a disaster.

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