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Strasse
Forum ***
Joined: 16 Nov 2005
Posts: 6777
Location: Houston, TX
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 Posted: Sat Dec 06, 2008 2:31 am Post subject: |
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Pretty much best case senario for fefimo, exluding trip 10s or trip 3s, here are the odds.
pokenum -mc 500000 -7s jd td 3s jc tc - ks kc 9h 4s ah / 2s 7s js qd jh
7-card Stud Hi: 500000 sampled outcomes
cards win %win lose %lose tie %tie EV
3s Jc Tc Jd Td 251535 50.31 248465 49.69 0 0.00 0.503
Ks 4s Kc Ah 9h 248465 49.69 251535 50.31 0 0.00 0.497
Against jacks and tens with the dead jacks, big pair has 49.7% equity. This is why the fold is absolutely, gut wrenchingly horrible. |
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tracysanders
Message Board Junkie
Joined: 02 Apr 2008
Posts: 6918
Location: ANOTHER FUQQIN MINCASH...
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| Posted: Sat Dec 06, 2008 2:34 am Post subject: |
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| That explains it, wasn't paying attention to the 2 jacks that were folded. Thanx for the clarification. |
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Strasse
Forum ***
Joined: 16 Nov 2005
Posts: 6777
Location: Houston, TX
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| Posted: Sat Dec 06, 2008 2:38 am Post subject: |
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| tracysanders wrote: |
| That explains it, wasn't paying attention to the 2 jacks that were folded. Thanx for the clarification. |
Even if the 2 jacks weren't folded, I'd still advocate the exact same play. Taking out the dead jacks, she still has 42.7% EV against 2 pair, and I find it hard to believe that he would have limped in with buried jacks. |
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bigpairde
Chipluder
Joined: 26 Apr 2008
Posts: 8906
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| Posted: Sat Dec 06, 2008 6:11 am Post subject: |
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thanks a lot for you elaborations guys!!!
very helpful!!! |
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hojediade
High Card
Joined: 20 Dec 2008
Posts: 8
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| Posted: Fri Oct 09, 2009 6:51 am Post subject: |
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In second hand i would have probably not call on 3rd street, cause even tho you have a seducing hand with 3 diamonds, it usually led to chase a mirage, plus you don't have much possibilities to catch a low or a str8.
For the first hand, you don't need to bet a single pair, IMO. |
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