Online Poker Forum - Full House river check/raise

Moshiach · Posted: Sun Nov 22, 2009 5:44 am Post subject: Full House river check/raise

Full Tilt, $0.10/$0.25 NL Hold'em Cash Game, 6 Players

MP: $26.89
CO: $26.33
BTN: $36.20
SB: $25
Hero (BB): $34.73
UTG: $8.55

Pre-Flop: 5

5

dealt to Hero (BB)
UTG folds, MP raises to $0.85, CO folds, BTN calls $0.85, SB folds, Hero calls $0.60

Flop: ($2.65) 5

8

4

(3 Players)
Hero bets $1.75, MP calls $1.75, BTN folds

Turn: ($6.15) 3

(2 Players)
Hero bets $4.50, MP calls $4.50

River: ($15.15) 3

(2 Players)
Hero checks

He was running about 20/7 at the time, the other guy was equally fishy fwiw, I donk bet because it's dry and there's a good chance it'll get checked around, and as fish they'll be floating me with random unpaired overcards (he has a 0 cbet and 0 fold to cbet, 23 sample size), turn is standard, river range I have him on is random AQo type hands, 8x, 99+, and maybe a flopped straight or 88/44, he's folding the overcard junk to any bet, and if I check he's betting the remainder of his range 100% of the time, so a check/raise gets his whole stack rather than just ~$11 if he has TT or whatever, sound good?

Riddim · Posted: Sun Nov 22, 2009 7:39 am Post subject:

I really think you're overestimating how often he'll bet his TP/overpair type hands and you're also leaving out that when he's bet/folding he could very easily bet a lot smaller when checked to than what he'd call if you had bet again. I'd just bet like 12-13 on the river myself. Obviously if you do know he'll act as you described on the river, a c/r is often better, but since you're posting the hand in the first place I'm hoping that's just an assumption rather than a read on the specific villain.

gamblingparlour · Posted: Sun Nov 22, 2009 10:43 am Post subject:

I'm betting this river 100% of the time for the same reason Riddim stated. You can't be certain villain will bet the river, and a C/R looks even stronger. You have been aggressive in the hand so let them think you are bluffing.

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